Should We Be Wary of the Euro's Downward Potential Against the U.S. Dollar?
11.07.2025
- UK Trade Balance
- UK Monthly GDP
In the U.S. currency market the previous day, the U.S. dollar fell against the yen.The USD/JPY pair traded between 146.785 and 145.749. Price action remained within the range of the 20-period moving average (MA) on the hourly chart throughout the session. On the 4-hour chart, the pair has pulled back from the +2σ Bollinger Band to the centerline, while on the daily chart, it continues to trade above the 10-period MA.
European currencies fell as the euro weakened against the U.S. dollar after Germany’s June consumer price index, released yesterday, showed that both the CPI and HICP remained unchanged from the previous month on a year-over-year basis.The euro fell against the U.S. dollar from 1.1749 to 1.1662. On the hourly chart, the price has moved from above the 20-period moving average (MA) to below it. On the 4-hour chart, the 20-period MA has shifted from a support line to a resistance line, and on the daily chart, the price is currently testing whether it will find support at the 20-period MA.
Today’s economic indicators include the UK’s monthly GDP, Germany’s Consumer Price Index, the UK’s manufacturing output, the UK’s trade balance, and the UK’s industrial production at 15:00; France’s Consumer Price Index at 15:45; Canada’s employment report and housing permits at 21:30; andand at 27:00, the U.S. budget balance. We should remain highly vigilant regarding the potential for further declines in the euro against the U.S. dollar.
