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Should We Keep an Eye on the Swiss Franc’s Upside Potential as It Continues to Hit New Highs?

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Should We Keep an Eye on the Swiss Franc’s Upside Potential as It Continues to Hit New Highs?

10.07.2025

Today's Highlights
  1. Japan: Domestic Corporate Prices
  2. South Africa: Manufacturing Output

In the previous day’s U.S. currency trading, the U.S. dollar traded in a tight range against the euro. The EUR/USD pair fluctuated between 1.1689 and 1.1729, with price action remaining within the 20-period moving average (MA) on the hourly chart throughout the session.On the 4-hour chart, the pair is showing minor fluctuations between the 75-period and 20-period moving averages, while on the daily chart, the RSI has fallen from 75 to 61. Following a pullback from the +2σ level of the Bollinger Bands, the pair is currently searching for direction.

Among European currencies, the Swiss franc strengthened during U.S. trading hours. The franc/yen pair rose from 183.704 to 184.560, trading near the 20-period moving average on the hourly chart.On the 4-hour chart, the pair continues to trade with support at the 10-period moving average. On the daily chart, it has risen for three consecutive days. However, since the daily RSI has surged to 81, we should remain cautious as to whether a pullback may occur during European trading hours.

Today’s economic indicators include the UK RICS House Price Index at 8:01, Japan’s Domestic Corporate Goods Price Index at 8:50, Japan’s Inbound/Inward Securities Investment at 8:50, the German Consumer Price Index at 15:00, South African Manufacturing Output at 20:00, U.S. Initial Jobless Claims at 21:30, U.S. Musalem:Statement by St. Louis Fed President Musalem, at 23:30: U.S. Weekly Natural Gas Inventories, at 26:00: U.S. 30-Year Treasury Auction, and at 26:15: U.S. Statement by Fed Governor Waller. We will be watching for further upside potential in the Swiss franc, which continues to hit new highs.

桜井 慶介

Author: Keisuke Sakurai

He has over 10 years of experience in FX trading. In the financial sector, he has been involved in investment management focused primarily on foreign exchange markets and has experience as an asset management advisor. Drawing on his extensive experience, he specializes in technical and fundamental analysis.

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