With the euro rising on the back of a strong German ZEW Economic Sentiment Index, should we keep a close eye on its upside potential?
15.05.2024
- Europe: Industrial Production
- U.S. Consumer Price Index
In U.S. currency trading yesterday, the Canadian dollar weakened during U.S. trading hours after Canada’s March wholesale sales figures, released yesterday, deteriorated to -1.1% from 0.0% the previous month.The AUD/CAD pair rose from 0.9004 to 0.9048. On the hourly chart, the 200-period SMA is acting as a support level, while on the 4-hour chart, the 75-period MA is providing support. Since the uptrend along the 10-period MA continues on the daily chart, we will be watching for upside potential during U.S. trading hours.
European currencies rose, with the euro gaining against the U.S. dollar after Germany’s May ZEW Economic Sentiment Index, released yesterday, rebounded to 47.1 from 42.9 the previous month, exceeding market expectations of 45.9.The EUR/USD pair rose from 1.0767 to 1.0825. A rebound was observed from the 20-period moving average (MA) on the hourly chart. Similarly, on the 4-hour chart, the 20-period MA is acting as a support level, and on the daily chart, the price has broken above the line where the long-term and short-term MAs converge with a real body.
Today’s schedule includes the Australian Wage Index at 10:30, Indonesia’s Trade Balance at 13:00, Sweden’s Consumer Price Index at 15:00, France’s Consumer Price Index at 15:45, the Eurozone’s Real GDP at 18:00, and the Eurozone’sIndustrial Production, at 8:00 PM: South Africa’s Retail Sales and the U.S. MBA Mortgage Applications Index; at 9:15 PM: Canada’s Housing Starts and at 9:30 PM: Canada’s Manufacturing Sales, the U.S. Consumer Price Index, and U.S. Retail Sales; at 11:00 PM: U.S. Business Inventories,U.S. NAHB Housing Market Index, and remarks by U.S. Federal Reserve Vice Chair Bar; at 23:30, U.S. weekly crude oil inventories; and at 25:00, Russian real GDP. We will be closely monitoring the euro’s upside potential, given the strong rise in the German ZEW Economic Sentiment Index.
