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With tomorrow’s U.S. CPI release approaching, all eyes are on the U.S. dollar to see if there will be any changes in its price movements.

Market Report

With tomorrow’s U.S. CPI release approaching, all eyes are on the U.S. dollar to see if there will be any changes in its price movements.

Today's Highlights
  1. Switzerland – Producer Import Prices
  2. UK Employment Statistics

In the U.S. currency market yesterday, the U.S. dollar rose during U.S. trading hours ahead of today’s release of the U.S. Producer Price Index (PPI). The USD/JPY pair rose after U.S. Treasury Secretary Yellen stated that a cautious stance should be taken regarding currency intervention by major countries. It broke through the key 156-yen level from 155.504 and rose to 156.293.On the 4-hour chart, the 20-period moving average (MA) is firmly acting as a support level, so we should watch for further gains during U.S. trading hours.

Despite the release of Germany’s March current account balance yesterday, which fell to €27.6 billion from €29.8 billion the previous month, the euro rose against the yen.The EUR/JPY pair rose from 167.505 to 168.668. A band walk along the +2σ line of the hourly Bollinger Bands was observed. On the 4-hour chart, a trend is developing along the 10-period moving average (MA). We will keep a close eye on whether the euro continues to rise against the yen.

Today’s schedule includes Japan’s domestic corporate goods price index at 8:50, Germany’s consumer price index, the UK’s ILO unemployment rate, and the UK’s employment statistics at 15:00, Switzerland’s producer import prices at 15:30, remarks by MPC member Pill at 16:30, and Germany’sZEW Economic Sentiment Index, and the Eurozone ZEW Economic Sentiment Index; at 6:30 PM, South African employment data; at 7:00 PM, the U.S. NFIB Small Business Optimism Index; at 9:30 PM, Canadian wholesale sales and the U.S. Producer Price Index; at 10:10 PM, remarks by U.S. Federal Reserve Governor Cook; and at 11:00 PM, remarks by U.S. Federal Reserve Chair Powell.Ahead of tomorrow’s U.S. CPI release, we’ll be watching today’s PPI data for any signs of a shift in the U.S. dollar’s price action.

桜井 慶介

Author: Keisuke Sakurai

I have over 10 years of experience in FX trading. In the financial sector, I have focused primarily on foreign exchange trading and have also worked as an investment advisor. Drawing on my extensive experience, I specialize in technical and fundamental analysis.

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