Should we be wary of the price movements in cross-yen pairs, which rebounded after the yen’s strength failed to hold?
23.11.2023
- UK Manufacturing/Services PMI (Preliminary)
- New Zealand: Third-Quarter Retail Sales
In the previous day’s U.S. currency trading, the U.S. dollar lost momentum toward the end of the U.S. trading session after the October existing home sales figure, released during U.S. trading hours, fell to 3.79 million from 3.96 million the previous month. The USD/JPY pair rose from 148.027 to 149.742 before falling back to 149.037.On the hourly chart, USD/JPY has formed an uptrend along the 20-day moving average (MA), while on the daily chart, the 75-day MA is acting as support, causing the pair to rebound. We will monitor price movements during U.S. trading hours to see if the U.S. dollar continues to rebound.
Ahead of today’s release of the minutes from the European Central Bank (ECB) Governing Council meeting, the euro rose against the yen. As the USD/JPY pair rebounded, the EUR/JPY pair followed suit, climbing from 161.592 to 162.935. Although it had been trading below the 20-period moving average (MA) on the 4-hour chart, it has now moved back above it.Since the EUR/JPY pair has rebounded firmly after touching the daily 20-day moving average, it will be worth watching whether it continues to rise heading into next week.
Today, at 4:00 PM, Norway’s Q3 GDP will be released; at 5:15 PM, France’s Manufacturing/Services PMI (flash estimates); at 5:30 PM, Germany’s Manufacturing/Services PMI (flash estimates); at 6:00 PM, the Eurozone’s Manufacturing/Services PMI (flash estimates);at 6:30 PM UK Manufacturing/Services PMI (flash estimates), at 8:00 PM Turkey’s TCMB policy rate and statement, and Israel’s industrial production, at 9:30 PM the release of the ECB meeting minutes, and at 6:45 AM the following day New Zealand’s Q3 retail sales. We should remain cautious regarding the movement of cross-yen pairs, which have rebounded and risen after the yen’s strength failed to hold.
