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Swiss Franc on the Rise: Should We Keep an Eye on Its Upside Potential?

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Swiss Franc on the Rise: Should We Keep an Eye on Its Upside Potential?

Today's Highlights
  1. Bank of England Announces Policy Rate and Statement
  2. U.S. Initial Jobless Claims

In the previous day’s U.S. currency trading, the U.S. dollar strengthened following the FOMC meeting, rising against the euro.The EUR/USD pair fell from 1.1720 to 1.1661, declining along the 20-period moving average (MA) on the hourly chart. On the 4-hour chart, the price broke below the 200-period exponential moving average (EMA), which had been acting as support, with a real body candle. On the daily chart, the price is in a phase of transitioning from above the 20-period MA to below it. On the weekly chart, the price has formed lower highs, failing to reach a new high and subsequently pulling back.

Among European currencies, the Swiss franc rose against the yen. The CHF/JPY pair rose from 201.751 to 202.909. On the hourly chart, the price moved from below the 20-period moving average (MA) to above it. On the 4-hour chart, the price is rebounding as the 200-period simple moving average (SMA) acts as a support level, and on the daily chart, it has recovered from below the 20-period MA—which it had temporarily broken below—to above it.

Today, at 8:50 AM: Japan’s retail sales, department store/supermarket sales, and industrial production; at 10:00 AM: New Zealand’s ANZ Business Confidence Index; at 10:30 AM: Australia’s import price index; at 2:00 PM: Japan’s housing starts; at 4:55 PM: Germany’s employment statistics; at 5:00 PM: Germany’s real GDP;at 6:00 PM: Eurozone Real GDP, Eurozone Consumer Price Index, and Eurozone Employment Statistics; at 8:00 PM: UK BOE Policy Rate and Statement; at 8:30 PM: UK BOE Governor Bailey’s Press Conference; at 9:15 PM: Eurozone ECB Policy Rate and Statement; at 9:30 PM: US Initial Jobless Claims, US Personal Income, US Real GDP,Canada: Real GDP; 21:45: Eurozone: ECB President Lagarde’s press conference; 22:45: US: Chicago PPI; 23:00: US: Leading Economic Index. We will be closely monitoring the upside potential of the Swiss franc, which has risen against the yen.

桜井 慶介

Author: Keisuke Sakurai

He has over 10 years of experience in FX trading. In the financial sector, he has focused primarily on foreign exchange trading and also has experience as an investment advisor. Drawing on his extensive experience, he specializes in technical and fundamental analysis.

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