Should We Watch for the U.S. Dollar—Now at Its Weakest—to Test New Lows?

Should We Watch for the U.S. Dollar—Now at Its Weakest—to Test New Lows?

17.03.2026

In the U.S. currency market the previous day, the U.S. dollar was the weakest currency throughout the day, from the start of the week during Asian trading hours through the late U.S. trading session.The EUR/USD pair rose from 1.1414 to 1.1524, rebounding from the -2σ to +2σ levels of the hourly Bollinger Bands. The 4-hour chart shows a similar price movement to the hourly chart, and on the daily chart, the pair is currently rebounding after breaking below the 200 EMA support line.

Among European currencies, the Swiss franc saw a back-and-forth movement against the yen. The CHF/JPY pair traded between 201.114 and 202.205. The hourly RSI rebounded after touching the 30 level.On the 4-hour chart, the 200 SMA is acting as a support level, while on the daily chart, the pair is continuing its uptrend along the 20 MA and is in the process of setting a new all-time high. We’ll be watching to see if the Swiss franc rebounds during today’s European trading session.

Today, the RBA policy rate and statement will be announced at 12:30; at 13:30, Japan’s Tertiary Industry Activity Index will be released, followed by a press conference with RBA Governor Block; at 16:30, Switzerland’s Producer Import Prices will be released; at 18:00, Canada’s Existing Home Sales will be released;at 19:00, Germany’s ZEW Economic Sentiment Index and the Eurozone’s ZEW Economic Sentiment Index; at 23:00, the U.S. Leading Economic Index and U.S. Existing Home Sales; at 24:15, remarks by Germany’sRemarks by Nagel, President of the German Federal Bank; at 26:00, U.S. 20-Year Treasury Auction; and at 6:45 the following day, New Zealand Current Account Balance. We will be watching for further downside movement in the U.S. dollar, which has reached its weakest level.