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Will the range-bound GBP/USD pair show a clear direction, or should we wait and see how it moves during U.S. trading hours?

Market Report

Will the range-bound GBP/USD pair show a clear direction, or should we wait and see how it moves during U.S. trading hours?

Today's Highlights
  1. Japan: Retail Sales
  2. European Employment Statistics

In the U.S. currency market yesterday, the U.S. dollar fell against the yen. The USD/JPY pair traded between 152.672 and 153.534, with price action straddling the 20-period moving average (MA) on the hourly chart.On the 4-hour chart, the pair is breaking above the 20-period moving average (MA), which had been acting as resistance. On the daily chart, while the 200-period exponential moving average (EMA) is functioning as support, the upside remains capped. Notably, during today’s Asian session, the pair reversed course without testing yesterday’s low and has since reached a new high.

Among European currencies, the pound traded sideways against the U.S. dollar. The GBP/USD pair fluctuated between 1.3742 and 1.3847. Price action lacked direction, fluctuating around the 20-period moving average on the hourly chart.On the 4-hour chart, the pair is breaking below the 10-period moving average (MA) that had been providing support, while on the daily chart, it is in the midst of a pullback from the +3σ level of the Bollinger Bands. Furthermore, during today’s Asian trading session, upside gains have been limited, and the pair has been testing lower levels.

Today’s economic indicators include the Tokyo Metropolitan Area Consumer Price Index and Japan’s employment statistics at 8:30, Japan’s retail sales and department store/supermarket sales, and Japan’s industrial production; at 9:30, Australia’s Producer Price Index; at 14:00, Japan’s housing starts; at 15:00, South Africa’s money supply; at 17:55, Germany’s employment statistics; at 18:00, Germany’s real GDP;6:30 PM UK Money Supply, 7:00 PM Eurozone Real GDP, Eurozone Employment Statistics, 10:00 PM German Consumer Price Index, 10:30 PM U.S. Producer Price Index, Canadian Real GDP, U.S. Producer Price Index (December),at 23:45: U.S. Chicago PMI; and at 27:30: remarks by U.S. St. Louis Fed President Musalem are scheduled. I’d like to wait and see how the market moves during U.S. trading hours to see if the range-bound GBP/USD pair will break out in either direction.

桜井 慶介

Author: Keisuke Sakurai

He has over 10 years of experience in FX trading. In the financial sector, he has been involved in investment management focused primarily on foreign exchange markets and has experience as an asset management advisor. Drawing on his extensive experience, he specializes in technical and fundamental analysis.

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