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Should We Keep an Eye on the Upside Potential of GBP/JPY, Which Has Hit a New Year-to-Date High?

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Should We Keep an Eye on the Upside Potential of GBP/JPY, Which Has Hit a New Year-to-Date High?

09.12.2025

Today's Highlights
  1. Remarks by Nagel, President of the German Central Bank
  2. U.S. NFIB Small Business Optimism Index

In U.S. currency trading the previous day, the U.S. dollar was the strongest. The USD/JPY pair rose from 154.902 to 155.986. It moved from below the 20-period moving average (MA) on the hourly chart to above it.On the 4-hour chart, the 200-period simple moving average (SMA) is acting as a support level, causing prices to rebound, while on the daily chart, the pair has recovered from below the 20-period moving average (MA), which it had temporarily broken below. During today’s Asian trading session, the pair is holding above the daily 20-period MA.

Among European currencies, the pound rose against the yen. The GBP/JPY pair rose from 206.589 to 207.801. The uptrend along the 10-period moving average on the hourly chart continued.On the 4-hour chart, the candlesticks have extended to the +2σ level of the Bollinger Bands, and on the daily chart, the pair has risen for two consecutive days, setting a new year-to-date high. Since the pair has also hit a new high during today’s Asian trading session, we will be closely monitoring the pound’s movements during U.S. trading hours.

Today’s schedule includes the Australian NAB Business Confidence Index at 9:30, the RBA policy rate announcement and statement at 12:30, a press conference by RBA Governor Block at 13:30, remarks by BOJ Governor Ueda at 14:30,at 15:00, Japan’s machine tool orders; at 16:00, Germany’s trade balance; at 17:00, remarks by German Bundesbank President Nagel; at 18:00, remarks by Bank of Japan Governor Ueda; at 20:00, the U.S. NFIB Small Business Optimism Index;at 24:00: U.S. JOLTS Job Openings and U.S. Leading Economic Index; at 27:00: U.S. 10-Year Treasury Auction; and at 28:10: Remarks by RBNZ Governor Breman. We will be watching for further upside potential in GBP/JPY, which has hit a new high for the year.

桜井 慶介

Author: Keisuke Sakurai

He has over 10 years of experience in FX trading. In the financial sector, he has been involved in investment management focused primarily on foreign exchange markets and has experience as an asset management advisor. Drawing on his extensive experience, he specializes in technical and fundamental analysis.

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