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Should We Be Wary of the U.S. Dollar’s Price Movements During Market Closures as It Weakens?

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Should We Be Wary of the U.S. Dollar’s Price Movements During Market Closures as It Weakens?

18.04.2025

Today's Highlights
  1. Japan: Consumer Price Index
  2. U.S. Daily: Remarks by the President of the San Francisco Federal Reserve Bank

In U.S. currency trading the previous day, the U.S. dollar fell against the pound after the April Philadelphia Fed Business Outlook Index, released yesterday, dropped to -26.4 from 12.5 the previous month—significantly missing market expectations of +6.7.The GBP/USD pair rose from 1.3202 to 1.3274. The price extended from the -2σ to the +3σ levels on the hourly Bollinger Bands. It has also hit new highs during today’s Asian trading session, with the U.S. dollar’s weakness becoming increasingly apparent.

European currencies fell against the U.S. dollar after the European Central Bank (ECB) cut its policy interest rate by 0.25 percentage points from 2.65% to 2.40% at its monetary policy meeting announced yesterday.The EUR/USD pair fell from 1.1408 to 1.1335, with price action straddling the 20-period moving average on the hourly chart. Although the pair has not reached a new high on the 4-hour chart, it has also not hit a new low, indicating that it is entering a triangular consolidation pattern.

Today’s economic indicators include Japan’s Consumer Price Index at 8:30 and remarks by the President of the San Francisco Federal Reserve Bank at 24:00; however, since major markets in Europe and the U.S. are closed today for Good Friday, no other notable economic indicators are scheduled.We should remain highly vigilant regarding price movements in the weakening U.S. dollar during the market closure.

桜井 慶介

Author: Keisuke Sakurai

He has over 10 years of experience in FX trading. In the financial sector, he has been involved in investment management focused primarily on foreign exchange markets and has experience as an asset management advisor. Drawing on his extensive experience, he specializes in technical and fundamental analysis.

Previous Article

Will the market wait and see how the euro reacts to the ECB’s policy rate announcement?

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With the long weekend in Europe and the U.S. coming to an end, will currency strength and weakness shift, or will the market wait and see which direction it takes?
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