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Will the BOC Keep Rates at 5.00%? All Eyes on the Canadian Dollar After the Policy Announcement

Market Report

Will the BOC Keep Rates at 5.00%? All Eyes on the Canadian Dollar After the Policy Announcement

Today's Highlights
  1. UK CBI Manufacturing Optimism Index
  2. Canada: BOC Policy Rate and Statement Release

In yesterday’s U.S. currency trading, the Canadian dollar rebounded against the yen ahead of today’s Bank of Canada (BOC) policy rate announcement. The CAD/JPY pair rose by about 1 yen, from 109.228 to 110.230.The pair rose from a level below the 20-period moving average on the 4-hour chart. However, during today’s Asian trading session, the CAD/JPY pair has pulled back to 109.787. While the BOC is expected to keep its policy rate unchanged at 5.00% in today’s announcement, it will be interesting to see if the market absorbs the news without any surprises and whether prices hold steady.

European currencies saw the pound fall against the yen, despite yesterday’s announcement that the UK’s December net public sector debt had decreased to 6.8 billion pounds from 13.4 billion pounds the previous month. The GBP/JPY pair fell from 188.919 to 187.339.It fell below the 75-period moving average (MA) on the hourly chart. Additionally, on the 4-hour chart, prices have fallen below the 20-period MA, and since both the highs and lows are being revised lower, traders should pay close attention to price movements during European trading hours.

Today's economic indicators include Japan's trade balance at 8:50,9:00 AM: Australia’s Leading Indicator, 4:00 PM: Sweden’s Money Market CPIF, 5:00 PM: South Africa’s Consumer Price Index, 6:00 PM: Philippines’ Unemployment Rate, 8:00 PM: UK’s CBI Manufacturing Optimism Index, 9:00 PM: India’sConsumer Price Index, and Mexico’s Consumer Price Index at 21:00; the U.S. MBA Mortgage Applications Index at 21:00; the Bank of Canada’s (BOC) policy rate and statement at 24:00; remarks by BOC Governor McClem at 24:30; and U.S. weekly crude oil inventories at 24:00.We’ll be watching the market reaction following the indicator releases to see if the BOC keeps rates at 5.00%, as widely expected.

桜井 慶介

Author: Keisuke Sakurai

He has over 10 years of experience in FX trading. In the financial sector, he has been involved in investment management focused primarily on foreign exchange markets and has experience as an asset management advisor. Drawing on his extensive experience, he specializes in technical and fundamental analysis.

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