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With the yen's strength at the end of the month giving way to a trend toward a weaker yen, investors should keep an eye on currency strength and weakness.

Market Report

With the yen's strength at the end of the month giving way to a trend toward a weaker yen, investors should keep an eye on currency strength and weakness.

Today's Highlights
  1. Canada: Employment Statistics
  2. U.S. ISM Manufacturing Index

In yesterday’s U.S. trading session, the Canadian dollar rose against the yen ahead of today’s U.S. employment report. The CAD/JPY pair rebounded by approximately 130 pips, rising from 108.061 to 109.451. On the hourly chart, the price broke above the 200-period SMA resistance with a real body candle.Technically, the CAD/JPY pair is trading in a range as it searches for direction around the daily 20-day moving average (MA), and the daily RSI is also stagnating around the 50 level. It will be worth watching whether the Canadian dollar continues its rebound against the yen into early December.

European currencies saw the Swiss franc rise against the yen after Switzerland’s October retail sales figures, released yesterday, improved to -0.1% from -0.6% the previous month. The franc rose against the yen from 168.032 to 170.208.On the 4-hour Bollinger Bands chart, the pair temporarily broke above the +3σ line. On the daily chart, although the pair remains within the +2σ range of the Bollinger Bands, it has been forming higher lows, so caution is warranted regarding the potential for an upward move at the start of the month.

Today, India’s Manufacturing PMI is scheduled for 14:00, Turkey’s Manufacturing PMI for 16:00, France’s budget balance for 16:45,at 5:00 PM, Swiss Real GDP; at 5:30 PM, Swiss SVME Purchasing Managers’ Index; at 5:50 PM, German Manufacturing PMI; at 6:00 PM, Eurozone Manufacturing PMI; at 6:30 PM, UK Manufacturing PMI; at 10:30 PM, Canadian Employment Statistics;at 23:45, U.S. Manufacturing PMI; at 24:00, U.S. Construction Spending, U.S. ISM Manufacturing Index, and remarks by U.S. Chicago Fed President Goolsbee; and at 25:00, remarks by U.S. Federal Reserve Chair Powell are scheduled.We need to carefully assess the shift in currency strength, which is moving from yen appreciation at the end of the month to yen depreciation.

桜井 慶介

Author: Keisuke Sakurai

He has over 10 years of experience in FX trading. In the financial sector, he has been involved in investment management focused primarily on foreign exchange markets and has experience as an asset management advisor. Drawing on his extensive experience, he specializes in technical and fundamental analysis.

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