Should We Be Wary of U.S. Dollar Price Movements Following the U.S. CPI Release?
14.11.2023
- UK Employment Statistics
- U.S. Consumer Price Index
In the U.S. currency market the previous day, the U.S. dollar plummeted against the yen at the close of trading. The USD/JPY pair rose from 1511.334 to 151.906.It then plummeted to 151.206, briefly dipping below the 75-period moving average (MA) on the hourly chart, but during today’s Asian trading session, it is trading around 151.718, just below the 20-period MA on the hourly chart. We need to remain vigilant regarding price movements, as we cannot rule out the possibility of sudden USD selling similar to yesterday’s occurring again today.
European currencies saw the euro rise against the yen after Germany’s September current account balance, released yesterday, improved to 28.1 billion euros from 16.6 billion euros the previous month. The euro/yen pair rose from 161.544 to 162.362, continuing its gradual uptrend along the 20-period moving average on the hourly chart.On the daily chart, the upward trend from last month has continued into this month, and the price is currently moving along the +2σ line of the daily Bollinger Bands. We will be watching closely to see if the euro extends its gains during European trading hours.
Today’s schedule includes the Indian Wholesale Price Index at 3:30 p.m., the UK Employment Report, the Swedish Consumer Price Index, and Swiss Producer Import Prices at 4:00 p.m., remarks by SNB Governor Jordan at 4:45 p.m., and remarks by Williams at 5:00 p.m.:remarks by NY Fed President Williams; at 7:00 PM, the German ZEW Economic Sentiment Index, the Eurozone ZEW Economic Sentiment Index, and Eurozone Q3 GDP;at 7:30 p.m., South African employment figures; at 7:30 p.m., remarks by U.S. Federal Reserve Vice Chair Jefferson; at 10:30 p.m., U.S. Consumer Price Index; and at midnight, remarks by U.S. Federal Reserve Vice Chair Barr are scheduled.We will carefully assess price trends based on the U.S. CPI data.
