With the unemployment rate worsening, should we be wary of further downside potential for the Canadian dollar?
06.11.2023
- Investor Sentiment Index for Europe and the Eurozone
- Canada-Ivey Purchasing Managers' Index
Last weekend, the Canadian dollar fell against the yen following the release of Canada’s October employment statistics on the 3rd, which showed the unemployment rate had worsened by 0.2 percentage points from the previous month’s 5.5% to 5.7%. The CAD/JPY pair fell from 109.524 to 109.004.The price fell to the 75-period moving average on the hourly chart. However, during today’s Asian trading session, the Canadian dollar has been strengthening against the yen, breaking above last weekend’s high to reach 109.649, so we should remain cautious about price movements during U.S. trading hours.
Despite the eurozone unemployment rate worsening from 6.4% to 6.5% in last weekend’s September employment statistics, the euro rose against the yen. The euro/yen pair rose from 159.592 to 160.403.It has continued to hit new highs during today’s Asian trading session, rising to 160.636. We will need to keep an eye on currency strength during European trading hours to see if the euro’s momentum continues.
Today, at 16:00, Germany’s new manufacturing orders will be released; at 17:00, the Czech Republic’s industrial production; at 17:50, France’s services PMI; at 17:55, Germany’s services PMI; at 18:00, the Eurozone’s services PMI; and at 18:30, the Eurozone’sEurozone Investor Sentiment Index and UK Services PMI at 17:30, Mexico’s Consumer Confidence Index at 21:00, Canada’s Ivey Purchasing Managers’ Index at 24:00, remarks by U.S. Federal Reserve Governor Cook at 25:00, and a U.S. 6-month Treasury bill auction at 25:30.We need to remain highly vigilant regarding the downside potential for the Canadian dollar, given that the unemployment rate has worsened from 5.5% to 5.7%.
