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Should We Keep a Close Eye on the Direction of the Euro, Which Has Entered a Technical Recession?

Market Report

Should We Keep a Close Eye on the Direction of the Euro, Which Has Entered a Technical Recession?

Today's Highlights
  1. Canada: Employment Statistics
  2. Added: Equipment Utilization Rate

In the U.S. currency market yesterday, the U.S. dollar fell against the yen after data released yesterday showed that new U.S. unemployment insurance claims rose to 261,000 from 232,000 the previous week. The USD/JPY pair fell from 140.212 to 138.758.Over the past week, the market has continued to trade in a range straddling the 10-day moving average on the daily chart. USD/JPY is currently facing the 50% Fibonacci retracement level, which aligns with last year’s high and this year’s low, and price action is likely to remain directionless as the market seeks a clear direction leading up to next week’s FOMC meeting.

European currencies saw the euro trade in a tight range against the yen after the euro entered a technical recession following yesterday’s announcement that the eurozone’s first-quarter real GDP fell 0.1% quarter-on-quarter, marking the second consecutive quarter of contraction.The EUR/JPY pair has been trading in a range between 149.592 and 150.051, and is currently testing the upper boundary during today’s Asian session. If the pair extends its gains, it will be worth watching to see if it breaks through the recent high of 151.069.

Today, at 15:00, Norway’s Consumer Price Index and Producer Price Index, Sweden’s Industrial Production, and Sweden’s New Manufacturing Orders will be released; at 16:00, Turkey’s Industrial Production; and at 19:30, Russia’skey interest rates, at 8:30 p.m. India’s foreign exchange reserves, at 9:00 p.m. Mexico’s industrial production, at 9:30 p.m. Canada’s employment report and capacity utilization rate, and at 1:00 a.m. Russia’s Consumer Price Index. We will be closely monitoring the direction of the euro, which has entered a technical recession.

桜井 慶介

Author: Keisuke Sakurai

He has over 10 years of experience in FX trading. In the financial sector, he has been involved in investment management focused primarily on foreign exchange markets and has experience as an asset management advisor. Drawing on his extensive experience, he specializes in technical and fundamental analysis.

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