Will the euro weaken further on the back of Germany's CPI data? Market participants are on alert regarding the direction of the currency.
28.04.2023
- Germany's Consumer Price Index
- University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index
In yesterday’s U.S. currency trading, the U.S. dollar rose against the euro after data released yesterday showed that U.S. existing home sales fell 23.3% year-over-year, worse than the market forecast of a 21.1% decline.The EUR/USD pair fell from 1.1062 to 1.0992. The decline halted upon touching the 200-period EMA on the hourly chart. Since the EUR/USD is currently in a triangle consolidation pattern centered around the 20-period MA on the 4-hour chart, we should remain vigilant regarding whether the downtrend will continue.
Among European currencies, the EUR/GBP pair fell. The EUR/GBP dropped from 0.8871 to 0.8819. As the pair is trading just below the 75-period moving average on the 4-hour chart and appears poised for further declines, we should keep an eye on whether the euro’s momentum is waning. For now, we will be closely watching the German CPI results during European trading hours.
Today’s schedule includes Swiss retail sales at 3:30 PM, France’s producer price index and consumer price index at 3:45 PM, Turkey’s trade balance at 4:00 PM, Germany’s employment statistics at 4:55 PM, Germany’s first-quarter GDP and remarks by SNB Governor Jordan at 5:00 PM, the Eurozone’s first-quarter GDP at 6:00 PM,18:45: Remarks by ECB President Lagarde; 21:00: German CPI; 21:30: Canadian February Real GDP, U.S. Personal Income, U.S. PCE Deflator; 22:45: U.S. Chicago PMI; 23:00: U.S. University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index.We need to watch for any directional shifts, particularly whether the euro will weaken further following the release of Germany’s CPI.
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