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All eyes are on whether the U.S. CPI will come in below the market forecast of 7.3%

Market Report

All eyes are on whether the U.S. CPI will come in below the market forecast of 7.3%

Today's Highlights
  1. ZEW Economic Sentiment Survey (Europe)
  2. U.S. NFIB Small Business Optimism Index

In the U.S. currency market yesterday, a wait-and-see mood prevailed ahead of today’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) release. The euro/dollar pair traded in a range between 1.0505 and 1.0580, ending the session in a stalemate against the euro.Furthermore, during today’s Asian trading session, the market direction remains unclear, with traders awaiting the release of the U.S. CPI. Market expectations for today’s U.S. CPI year-over-year figure stand at 7.3%, so attention will be focused on whether the actual result comes in below this level.

Among European currencies, the euro-pound pair showed a slight downward trend. The euro-pound fell from 0.8618 to 0.8573 and is trending lower on the 4-hour chart, with its upside capped by the 75-period moving average.With the German ZEW Economic Sentiment Survey scheduled for release today and market expectations at -27.0, it will be worth watching closely to see if the results exceed market expectations and trigger a rebound in the euro.

Today, at 16:00 European time, the UK unemployment rate, the German Consumer Price Index, and Turkey’s industrial production figures will be released; at 19:00, the German ZEW Economic Sentiment Survey and the Eurozone ZEW Economic Sentiment Survey will be released; and at 19:30, the UK’sthe BOE Financial Stability Report, at 20:00 UK time a press conference by BOE Governor Bailey and the US NFIB Small Business Optimism Index, and during US trading hours at 22:30 the US Consumer Price Index, followed by a US 30-year Treasury auction at 27:00.We will be watching closely to see if the U.S. CPI falls below 7.3%.

桜井 慶介

Author: Keisuke Sakurai

He has over 10 years of experience in FX trading. In the financial sector, he has been involved in investment management focused primarily on foreign exchange markets and has experience as an asset management advisor. Drawing on his extensive experience, he specializes in technical and fundamental analysis.

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