All eyes are on whether the U.S. CPI will come in below the market forecast of 7.3%
13.12.2022
- ZEW Economic Sentiment Survey (Europe)
- U.S. NFIB Small Business Optimism Index
In the U.S. currency market yesterday, a wait-and-see mood prevailed ahead of today’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) release. The euro/dollar pair traded in a range between 1.0505 and 1.0580, ending the session in a stalemate against the euro.Furthermore, during today’s Asian trading session, the market direction remains unclear, with traders awaiting the release of the U.S. CPI. Market expectations for today’s U.S. CPI year-over-year figure stand at 7.3%, so attention will be focused on whether the actual result comes in below this level.
Among European currencies, the euro-pound pair showed a slight downward trend. The euro-pound fell from 0.8618 to 0.8573 and is trending lower on the 4-hour chart, with its upside capped by the 75-period moving average.With the German ZEW Economic Sentiment Survey scheduled for release today and market expectations at -27.0, it will be worth watching closely to see if the results exceed market expectations and trigger a rebound in the euro.
Today, at 16:00 European time, the UK unemployment rate, the German Consumer Price Index, and Turkey’s industrial production figures will be released; at 19:00, the German ZEW Economic Sentiment Survey and the Eurozone ZEW Economic Sentiment Survey will be released; and at 19:30, the UK’sthe BOE Financial Stability Report, at 20:00 UK time a press conference by BOE Governor Bailey and the US NFIB Small Business Optimism Index, and during US trading hours at 22:30 the US Consumer Price Index, followed by a US 30-year Treasury auction at 27:00.We will be watching closely to see if the U.S. CPI falls below 7.3%.
