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Market participants are likely to keep a close eye on the Japanese yen, which is showing relative strength amid the weakness of Western currencies.

Market Report

Market participants are likely to keep a close eye on the Japanese yen, which is showing relative strength amid the weakness of Western currencies.

Today's Highlights
  1. University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index
  2. Germany: Second-Quarter GDP (Preliminary Estimate)

In the U.S. currency market the previous day, the Dollar Index fell sharply to 105.8, causing the U.S. dollar to weaken. The U.S. dollar fell against both the yen and the Swiss franc. The USD/CHF pair fell by approximately 90 pips, from 0.9630 to 0.9541.During today’s Asian trading session, the USD/CHF pair has continued to slide, currently trading around 0.9509 and hitting a new low for the month.

European currencies saw the euro weaken amid inflation concerns, partly due to Germany’s July Consumer Price Index (CPI), released yesterday, which rose to 7.5% year-over-year.The EUR/USD pair fell by approximately 110 pips from 1.0235 to 1.0113. The pair is currently trading in a range, with its upside capped by the daily 20-day moving average (MA). However, as the daily RSI is trending upward, we will be watching closely to see if the pair breaks above the daily 20-day MA and continues to rise.

Today’s schedule includes Germany’s Import Price Index at 15:00 (Asia time), Switzerland’s Retail Sales at 15:30, and France’s Consumer Price Index at 15:45, followed by Switzerland’s KOF Leading Index and Turkey’s Trade Balance at 16:00 (Europe time),at 16:55 the German unemployment rate, at 17:00 the German Q2 GDP (flash estimate), at 18:00 the Eurozone Q2 GDP (flash estimate),during U.S. trading hours: Canadian GDP, U.S. personal income, and the U.S. core PCE deflator at 21:30; the U.S. Chicago Purchasing Managers’ Index at 22:45; and the University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index at 23:00.With European and U.S. currencies showing signs of weakness, it will be interesting to see if the relatively strong Japanese yen will make its presence felt at the end of the month.

桜井 慶介

Author: Keisuke Sakurai

He has over 10 years of experience in FX trading. In the financial sector, he has been involved in investment management focused primarily on foreign exchange markets and has experience as an asset management advisor. Drawing on his extensive experience, he specializes in technical and fundamental analysis.

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