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Market Participants Are Watching the Euro Closely Ahead of Tomorrow’s ECB Policy Rate Announcement

Market Report

Market Participants Are Watching the Euro Closely Ahead of Tomorrow’s ECB Policy Rate Announcement

Today's Highlights
  1. U.S. Existing-Home Sales
  2. U.S. 20-Year Treasury Auction

In U.S. currency trading the previous day, the Dollar Index fell to 106.5, and the EUR/USD rose by approximately 140 pips from 1.0120 to 1.0268.EUR/USD has broken well above the 4-hour 75 MA and is rising toward its next target, the 4-hour 200 EMA at 1.0341. We will monitor the situation closely, paying attention to the euro’s price action ahead of the ECB meeting to see if this upward trend continues.

European currencies are trading higher ahead of tomorrow’s ECB policy rate announcement, with the euro/yen pair rising from 139.701 to 141.540.The ECB is expected to announce its first interest rate hike in 11 years at tomorrow’s policy meeting, and buying has been driven by expectations of a rate hike. Depending on tomorrow’s outcome, there is a possibility of a “sell-the-fact” reaction, so traders should pay close attention to today’s price movements.

Today, the UK Consumer Price Index, Retail Price Index, and Producer Price Index will be released at 15:00 during Asian trading hours; the Turkish Consumer Confidence Index at 16:00 during European trading hours; the South African Consumer Price Index at 17:00;at 20:00 the U.S. MBA Mortgage Applications Index; at 21:30 U.S. time, the Canadian Consumer Price Index and Industrial Product Prices; at 23:00, U.S. Existing Home Sales; at 23:30, U.S. Weekly Crude Oil Inventories; and at 26:00, a U.S. 20-Year Treasury Bond Auction.We will be closely monitoring the euro’s movements ahead of tomorrow’s ECB policy rate announcement.

桜井 慶介

Author: Keisuke Sakurai

He has over 10 years of experience in FX trading. In the financial sector, he has been involved in investment management focused primarily on foreign exchange markets and has experience as an asset management advisor. Drawing on his extensive experience, he specializes in technical and fundamental analysis.

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