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Market Participants May Be Watching Price Movements Driven by Western PMI (Preliminary Figures)

Market Report

Market Participants May Be Watching Price Movements Driven by Western PMI (Preliminary Figures)

Today's Highlights
  1. European Manufacturing/Services PMI
  2. Remarks by Nagel, President of the German Central Bank

In the U.S. currency market the previous day, the Dollar Index temporarily fell to 103, and the dollar weakened against the euro. The U.S. MBA mortgage applications released yesterday rose 4.2% from the previous week, reflecting a rush of mortgage applications ahead of the interest rate hike.The EUR/USD pair rose by about 130 pips from 1.046 to 1.060. On the 4-hour chart, prices are forming higher highs.

Among European currencies, the pound—which had been trading weakly—rose slightly against the U.S. dollar, with the GBP/USD pair climbing from 1.216 to 1.231.However, on the 4-hour chart, the 75-period moving average continues to cap the upside, and since the downside has not yet fully broken out, we should exercise caution in assessing whether this upward trend will continue.

Today, at 16:15, France’s Manufacturing/Services PMI (flash estimate); at 16:30, Germany’s Manufacturing/Services PMI (flash estimate); at 17:00, the Eurozone’s Manufacturing/Services PMI (flash estimate); and at 17:30, the UK’sManufacturing/Services PMI (flash estimates), at 20:00 the TCMB policy rate announcement from Turkey, at 21:30 U.S. initial jobless claims and the U.S. Q1 current account balance, at 22:45 U.S. Manufacturing/Services PMI (flash estimates),11:00 PM: U.S. Fed Chair Powell’s Congressional Testimony; 11:30 PM: Remarks by German Bundesbank President Nagel; and 12:00 AM: U.S. Weekly Crude Oil Inventories. Be on the lookout for price fluctuations driven by the European and U.S. PMI (flash estimates).

桜井 慶介

Author: Keisuke Sakurai

He has over 10 years of experience in FX trading. In the financial sector, he has been involved in investment management focused primarily on foreign exchange markets and has experience as an asset management advisor. Drawing on his extensive experience, he specializes in technical and fundamental analysis.

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