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Should We Keep an Eye on the Upside for the Firm U.S. Dollar?

Market Report

Should We Keep an Eye on the Upside Potential of the Strengthening U.S. Dollar?

Today's Highlights
  1. U.S. JOLTS Survey
  2. U.S. – Williams: Remarks by the President of the New York Fed

The U.S. dollar strengthened against the pound the previous day, with the GBP/USD exchange rate falling by about 110 pips from 1.318 to 1.306.Factors contributing to the dollar’s rise included the release of U.S. wholesale inventories (flash estimate) yesterday, which rose to 2.1% from the previous reading of 0.8%, as well as the yen’s relative weakness following the Bank of Japan’s announcement of fixed-rate operations.The yield on the 10-year U.S. Treasury note briefly hit 2.55% but is currently trading around 2.47%.

European currencies are trading in a tight range against the U.S. dollar, with the EUR/USD pair fluctuating within a very narrow range between 1.094 and 1.099.The EUR/USD pair is currently trading just above the 20-period moving average on the 4-hour chart, with price action indicating that the market is searching for direction. Therefore, it would be advisable to open a position only after the price breaks through the recent highs or lows at 1.094 or 1.099.

Today, at 15:45, the French Consumer Confidence Index; at 17:30, UK Mortgage Approvals; at 22:00, the U.S. S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price Index, remarks by U.S. Federal Reserve Bank of New York President Williams, the U.S. Consumer Confidence Index, and the U.S. JOLTS Survey;a speech by Harker, President of the Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia, at 23:45; a speech by Zubruck, Deputy Governor of the Swiss National Bank (SNB), at 25:30; and a U.S. 7-year Treasury auction at 26:00.We will be closely monitoring whether today’s economic data releases will cause any shifts in the currently firm U.S. dollar.

桜井 慶介

Author: Keisuke Sakurai

He has over 10 years of experience in FX trading. In the financial sector, he has been involved in investment management focused primarily on foreign exchange markets and has experience as an asset management advisor. Drawing on his extensive experience, he specializes in technical and fundamental analysis.

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