Will European Currencies Rebound Against the Strong U.S. Dollar?
12.10.2021
- Germany: Wholesale Price Index
- Remarks by Clarida, Vice Chair of the Federal Reserve
Yesterday, in the U.S. market, the three major stock indices all continued to decline toward the close, with the S&P 500 ending at 4,361 points, down 0.69% from the previous day.The market was characterized by falling stock prices, flat interest rates, and rising crude oil prices. Selling pressure on major U.S. financial institutions—which are set to report earnings this week—also contributed to the decline. Additionally, Goldman Sachs’ downward revision of its U.S. economic growth forecasts for fiscal years 2021 and 2022 was another factor behind the drop in stock prices.
In the foreign exchange market, with the Dollar Index rising to 94.3, the euro-dollar pair is facing resistance at higher levels and is currently trading around 1.155.However, given that the daily RSI is positioned near 30—a relatively low level—it would be unwise to be overly optimistic about a sharp decline. In any case, it is best to monitor the situation closely without assuming a specific direction.
Today, at 3:00 p.m., the UK ILO unemployment rate and UK employment statistics, as well as the German wholesale price index; at 4:00 p.m., Turkish industrial production; at 6:00 p.m., the Eurozone ZEW Economic Sentiment Index; at 8:00 p.m., South African manufacturing output;at 9:00 PM, India’s industrial production index; at 10:00 PM, remarks by ECB President Lagarde; and at 12:15 AM, remarks by Fed Vice Chair Clarida. While keeping an eye on remarks by key figures during U.S. trading hours today, we’ll aim to assess the relative strength of the U.S. dollar and European currencies.
