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USD/CHF: Should We Watch for Upside Potential After Breaking Above a Key Level?

Market Report

USD/CHF: Attention on Upside Potential After Breaking Above Key Level

Today's Highlights
  1. Japan: Consumer Price Index (CPI)
  2. UK Retail Sales

The dollar rose against the euro yesterday. The EUR/USD pair fell from 1.1716 to 1.1669.On the hourly chart, the price moved from above the 20-period moving average (MA) to below it. On the 4-hour chart, the price has fallen to just below the 200-period exponential moving average (EMA), and on the daily chart, it has fallen for three consecutive days. The downtrend from the +2σ line of the Bollinger Bands toward the centerline continued.

Among European currencies, the Swiss franc fell against the U.S. dollar. The USD/CHF pair rose from 0.7832 to 0.7873. It moved from below the 20-period moving average (MA) on the hourly chart to above it.On the 4-hour chart, the price has broken above the 200-period EMA—which had been acting as resistance—with a real body candle, and on the daily chart, it has risen for three consecutive days, breaking above the 20-period MA with a real body candle. On the weekly chart, the price has rebounded from a level below the 20-period MA to just below it.

Today’s economic indicators include the UK GfK Consumer Confidence Survey at 8:01, Japan’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) at 8:30, Japan’s Business Services Price Index at 8:50, UK Retail Sales at 15:00,at 15:45, the French Consumer Confidence Index; at 17:00, the German IFO Business Climate Index and remarks by SNB Governor Schlegel; at 21:30, Canadian Retail Sales; and at 23:00, the University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index.We will be watching for further upside potential in the US dollar against the Swiss franc, which has already risen.

桜井 慶介

Author: Keisuke Sakurai

He has over 10 years of experience in FX trading. In the financial sector, he has been involved in investment management focused primarily on foreign exchange markets and has experience as an asset management advisor. Drawing on his extensive experience, he specializes in technical and fundamental analysis.

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