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Will the market continue to lack direction following the recent decline? Should we wait and see how the EUR/AUD pair performs?

Market Report

Will the market continue to lack direction following the recent decline? Should we wait and see how the EUR/AUD pair performs?

Today's Highlights
  1. German GFK Consumer Confidence Survey
  2. U.S. Weekly Crude Oil Inventories

In U.S. currency trading the previous day, the Canadian dollar fell against the yen. The CAD/JPY pair dropped from 106.739 to 106.192. It declined as it encountered resistance at the 200-period EMA on the hourly chart.On the 4-hour chart, the 75-period MA is acting as a resistance zone, and price action is fluctuating as the pair seeks direction while moving across the 20-period MA. On the daily chart, the price has fallen to the -2σ Bollinger Band level near an RSI of 40. Note that during today’s Asian trading session, the Canadian dollar has shown a slight rebound, so caution is advised regarding the direction of the market.

Among European currencies, the euro saw a back-and-forth movement against the Australian dollar. The EUR/AUD pair traded between 1.7912 and 1.7981. Price action was observed straddling the 20-period moving average (MA) on the hourly chart.On the 4-hour chart, the downtrend—with the 10-period MA capping the upside—continues, and the price has fallen to just below the 200-period SMA. Meanwhile, on the daily chart, the price has formed a bullish candle with an upper shadow following a brief pause after three consecutive days of declines.

Today’s economic indicators include the Australian Westpac Leading Index at 9:30, the Australian Consumer Price Index at 10:30, remarks by U.S. Richmond Fed President Barkin at 13:01, the German GfK Consumer Confidence Survey at 15:00, and the UKCBI Retail Trade Survey at 15:00, the U.S. MBA Mortgage Applications Index at 20:00, U.S. weekly crude oil inventories at 23:30, and a U.S. 5-year Treasury auction at 26:00. I’d like to closely monitor the direction of the EUR/AUD pair to see if the market will continue to lack direction following the recent decline.

桜井 慶介

Author: Keisuke Sakurai

He has over 10 years of experience in FX trading. In the financial sector, he has been involved in investment management focused primarily on foreign exchange markets and has experience as an asset management advisor. Drawing on his extensive experience, he specializes in technical and fundamental analysis.

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