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Should We Keep an Eye on the Pound’s Upside Potential Against the Yen?

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Should We Keep an Eye on the Pound’s Upside Potential Against the Yen?

22.08.2025

Today's Highlights
  1. UK Retail Sales
  2. Germany's Real GDP

In the U.S. currency market yesterday, the U.S. dollar rose during U.S. trading hours after the July existing home sales figure—released yesterday—came in above market expectations, rising to 4.01 million units from 3.93 million units the previous month.The EUR/USD pair fell from 1.1662 to 1.1601. It continued to decline as it encountered resistance at the 200-period simple moving average (SMA) on the hourly chart. On the 4-hour chart, the candlesticks have dropped to the -3σ level of the Bollinger Bands. On the daily chart, the pair is beginning a decline following the formation of a triple top.

Among European currencies, the pound strengthened against the yen. The GBP/JPY pair rose from 197.878 to 199.233. It moved from below the 20-period moving average (MA) on the hourly chart to above it.On the 4-hour chart, a reversal from the 200-period EMA is evident, and on the daily chart, the price is currently rebounding from below the 20-period MA to above it. We will be watching closely to see if the pound maintains its strength against the yen over the weekend.

Today’s economic indicators include the UK GfK Consumer Confidence Survey at 8:01, Japan’s Consumer Price Index at 8:30, UK Retail Sales and Germany’s Real GDP at 15:00,at 21:30, Canadian Retail Sales; and at 23:00, remarks by Fed Chair Powell (Jackson Hole Symposium). We will be closely monitoring the pound’s upside potential after its recent rise against the yen.

桜井 慶介

Author: Keisuke Sakurai

He has over 10 years of experience in FX trading. In the financial sector, he has been involved in investment management with a particular focus on foreign exchange markets and has experience as an asset management advisor. Drawing on his extensive experience, he specializes in technical and fundamental analysis.

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