All eyes are on whether the U.S. dollar, now at its weakest, will continue to weaken

All eyes are on whether the U.S. dollar, now at its weakest, will continue to weaken

14.08.2025

In the previous session, the U.S. dollar hit its lowest point from late Asian trading hours through U.S. trading hours. The USD/JPY pair fell from 148.159 to 147.092. It declined while facing resistance at the 20-period moving average (MA) on the hourly chart. On the 4-hour chart, price action showed a reversal from the +2σ level of the Bollinger Bands, and on the daily chart, the 200-period exponential moving average (EMA) is acting as a resistance level, causing prices to fall.We will be watching closely to see if the US dollar shows further weakness following key officials’ remarks during today’s US trading session.

Among European currencies, the Swiss franc fell against the yen. The CHF/JPY pair dropped from 183.626 to 182.899. On the hourly chart, the price has moved from above the 20-period moving average (MA) to below it. On the 4-hour chart, the price has pulled back as it was capped by the 200-period simple moving average (SMA), and on the daily chart, the price has fallen below the middle line of the Bollinger Bands.We will be closely monitoring the direction of the Swiss franc to see if it continues to weaken during today’s European trading session.

Today’s schedule includes UK RICS house prices at 8:01, Australian employment data at 10:30, UK Q2 GDP, UK industrial production, and UK manufacturing output at 15:00, Swiss producer import prices at 15:30, French consumer price index at 15:45, and at 18:00, EurozoneIndustrial Production, and Q2 GDP; at 21:30, US Initial Jobless Claims and US Producer Price Index; at 23:00, remarks by US Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis President Musalem; at 23:30, US Weekly Natural Gas Inventories; and at 27:00, remarks by US Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond President Barkin.We will be watching closely to see if the US dollar, which has already hit a low, will weaken further.

Past Market Reports

1. 17.04.2026New

   Will the market wait and see how much further the U.S. dollar can rise against the yen?

2. 16.04.2026New

   Will the weakening Swiss franc recover? Attention is turning to price movements during European trading hours.

3. 15.04.2026New

   Market participants are likely keeping a close eye on the upside potential of the euro, which has risen against the U.S. dollar

4. 14.04.2026New

   Should we keep an eye on remarks by key figures in the U.S. and try to gauge the direction of currency strength?

5. 13.04.2026New

   Market participants are likely watching for signs of a rebound in the Canadian dollar, which fell against the U.S. dollar following the release of employment figures

6. 10.04.2026

   Will the weakening Swiss franc continue to strengthen against the yen, or should we wait and see?

7. 09.04.2026

   Will the U.S. dollar, which has fallen against the yen, continue its downward slide, or should we wait and see how the market moves?

8. 08.04.2026

   Should we keep an eye on the upside for European currencies that have risen against the U.S. dollar?

9. 07.04.2026

   Market participants may be wary of further downside potential for the U.S. dollar, which has weakened amid concerns over the situation in Iran

10. 06.04.2026

    Investors should be wary of sudden spikes in volatility while major markets are closed