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Will the Euro Regain Strength Following the ECB Announcement? Keep an Eye on Price Movements Around the Release of Economic Indicators

Market Report

Will the Euro Regain Strength Following the ECB Announcement? Keep an Eye on Price Movements Around the Release of Economic Indicators

Today's Highlights
  1. Europe: ECB Policy Rate and Statement Release
  2. UK Manufacturing/Services PMI

In the U.S. currency market the previous day, the U.S. dollar continued to fall against the euro. The EUR/USD pair rose from 1.1711 to 1.1775. It surged from the -3σ to the +3σ levels of the hourly Bollinger Bands.On the 4-hour chart, the upward trend continues, supported by the 20-period moving average (MA), and on the daily chart, the pair has risen for four consecutive days. The candlestick, which had briefly dipped below the 20-MA, has recovered. We will be watching for signs of whether the U.S. dollar will continue to weaken during today’s U.S. trading session.

European currencies saw the euro trade in a narrow range against the yen after the preliminary July consumer confidence index for the eurozone, released yesterday, improved to -14.7 from -15.3 the previous month.The euro/yen pair traded between 171.377 and 172.736. Price action lacked direction near the 200-period simple moving average (SMA) on the hourly chart. Meanwhile, on the daily chart, the trend of moving along the +2σ line of the Bollinger Bands is beginning to break down.

Today’s schedule includes remarks by RBA Governor Block of Australia at 12:05, the German GfK Consumer Confidence Survey at 15:00, and the German Manufacturing/Non-Manufacturing PMI at 15:30, the Eurozone Manufacturing/Services PMI at 17:00, the UK Manufacturing/Services PMI at 17:30, the ECB policy rate decision and statement at 21:15, U.S. Initial Jobless Claims and Canadian Retail Sales at 21:30,at 21:45, the ECB President Lagarde’s press conference; at 22:45, U.S. PMI; at 23:00, U.S. new home sales; and at 8:01 the following day, the UK GfK Consumer Confidence Survey.We’ll need to pay close attention to price movements around the release of these indicators to see if the euro regains strength following today’s ECB meeting.

桜井 慶介

Author: Keisuke Sakurai

He has over 10 years of experience in FX trading. In the financial sector, he has been involved in investment management focused primarily on foreign exchange markets and has experience as an asset management advisor. He specializes in technical and fundamental analysis, drawing on his extensive experience.

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