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Should we wait and see if the CAD/JPY pair, which has fallen, has room to recover?

Market Report

Should we wait and see if the CAD/JPY pair, which has fallen, has room to recover?

Today's Highlights
  1. Japan's Business Survey Index (BSI) for the Second Quarter
  2. U.S. Producer Price Index

In the U.S. currency market yesterday, the Canadian dollar fell against the yen after Canada’s April housing starts data, released yesterday, showed a deterioration from the previous month’s 4.1% decline to a 6.6% decline. The CAD/JPY pair dropped from 106.3091 to 105.581. It crossed below the 20-period moving average on the hourly chart.On the 4-hour chart, the price has pulled back from the +3σ level of the Bollinger Bands, and on the daily chart, the upside is facing resistance at the 200-day EMA.

Among European currencies, the pound rose against the U.S. dollar. The GBP/USD pair climbed from 1.3463 to 1.3566. On the hourly chart, the price moved from the -3σ to the +2σ Bollinger Band. On the 4-hour chart, the RSI has settled around 50, and on the daily chart, the price has been trading at the same level for about 10 trading days. We will be watching to see if a clear direction for the pound emerges during U.S. trading hours today.

Today’s economic indicators include UK RICS house prices at 8:01, Japan’s Q2 Business Sentiment Index (BSI) at 8:50, UK GDP andIndustrial Production, UK Manufacturing Output, and UK Goods Trade Balance; at 21:30, US Initial Jobless Claims and US Producer Price Index; at 23:30, US Weekly Natural Gas Inventories; at 26:00, US 30-Year Treasury Auction; and at 7:30 the following day, NZ Manufacturing PMI. I intend to cautiously monitor the potential for a recovery in the CAD/JPY pair following its decline.

桜井 慶介

Author: Keisuke Sakurai

He has over 10 years of experience in FX trading. In the financial sector, he has focused primarily on foreign exchange trading and also has experience as an investment advisor. Drawing on his extensive experience, he specializes in technical and fundamental analysis.

Past Market Reports

  1. 17.04.2026New

    Will the market wait and see how much further the U.S. dollar can rise against the yen?

  2. 16.04.2026New

    Will the weakening Swiss franc recover? Attention is turning to price movements during European trading hours.

  3. 15.04.2026New

    Market participants are likely keeping a close eye on the upside potential of the euro, which has risen against the U.S. dollar

  4. 14.04.2026New

    Should we keep an eye on remarks by key figures in the U.S. and try to gauge the direction of currency strength?

  5. 13.04.2026New

    Market participants are likely watching for signs of a rebound in the Canadian dollar, which fell against the U.S. dollar following the release of employment figures

  6. 10.04.2026

    Will the weakening Swiss franc continue to strengthen against the yen, or should we wait and see?

  7. 09.04.2026

    Will the U.S. dollar, which has fallen against the yen, continue its downward slide, or should we wait and see how the market moves?

  8. 08.04.2026

    Should we keep an eye on the upside for European currencies that have risen against the U.S. dollar?

  9. 07.04.2026

    Market participants may be wary of further downside potential for the U.S. dollar, which has weakened amid concerns over the situation in Iran

  10. 06.04.2026

    Investors should be wary of sudden spikes in volatility while major markets are closed

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