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Should We Watch for Further Gains in the Euro Against the Dollar?

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Should We Watch for Further Gains in the Euro Against the Dollar?

26.05.2025

Today's Highlights
  1. Japan Economic Sentiment Index
  2. Markets in the U.K. and U.S. are closed for a holiday

Last weekend, the Canadian dollar fluctuated against the yen as Canada’s March retail sales figures, released on the 23rd, rebounded from a 0.4% decline to a 0.8% increase.The CAD/JPY pair traded between 102.998 and 103.943, fluctuating around the 20-period moving average (MA) on the hourly chart. On the 4-hour chart, the pair has remained range-bound within a zone where short- and long-term MAs converge, while on the daily chart, it is currently searching for direction below the 20-period MA.

European currencies rose as the euro strengthened against the U.S. dollar following Friday’s release of Germany’s first-quarter real GDP, which improved from a year-over-year decline of 0.2% to 0.0%.The EUR/USD pair rose from 1.1276 to 1.1375. On the hourly chart, the price moved from below the 20-period moving average (MA) to above it. On the 4-hour chart, the price rebounded after touching the 20-period MA, and on the daily chart, the RSI has recovered to 60.

Today’s economic indicators include the Japanese Economic Sentiment Index at 14:00, remarks by German Bundesbank President Nagel at 22:30, and remarks by ECB President Lagarde at 23:30.Please note that markets in the U.S. and the U.K. will be closed today due to public holidays. I intend to carefully monitor the euro/dollar pair to see if it can sustain its recent gains.

桜井 慶介

Author: Keisuke Sakurai

He has over 10 years of experience in FX trading. In the financial sector, he has been involved in investment management focused primarily on foreign exchange markets and has experience as an asset management advisor. Drawing on his extensive experience, he specializes in technical and fundamental analysis.

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