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All eyes are on whether the falling U.S. dollar will react to remarks by key figures

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All eyes are on whether the falling U.S. dollar will react to remarks by key officials

07.03.2025

Today's Highlights
  1. Remarks by U.S. President Trump
  2. Remarks by Nagel, President of the German Federal Bank

In U.S. currency markets yesterday, the U.S. dollar weakened during U.S. trading hours after the U.S. January trade balance—released yesterday—worsened from a deficit of $98.4 billion the previous month to a deficit of $131.4 billion. The USD/JPY pair fell from 149.339 to 147.329.The pair rebounded after touching the 75-period moving average on the hourly chart. On the 4-hour chart, the candlesticks fell to the -2σ level of the Bollinger Bands, and the daily chart showed a similar price movement to the 4-hour chart.

European currencies fell against the yen after the ECB announced a 0.25% rate cut yesterday, in line with market consensus.The euro/yen pair fell from 161.232 to 159.124. On the hourly chart, the price has moved from above the 20-period moving average (MA) to below it. On the 4-hour chart, the price is declining, retesting just below the 200-period simple moving average (SMA), and on the daily chart, it is pulling back after hitting a new high for the month.

Today’s economic indicators include German manufacturing orders and UK Halifax house prices at 16:00; remarks by ECB President Lagarde and German Bundesbank President Nagel at 18:30; Canadian and U.S. employment reports at 22:30; andat 24:15, remarks by U.S. Federal Reserve Governor Bowman; at 24:45, remarks by U.S. Federal Reserve Governor Williams:remarks by New York Fed President Williams, at 26:20 remarks by U.S. Federal Reserve Governor Kugler, at 26:30 remarks by U.S. Federal Reserve Chair Powell, and at 27:30 remarks by U.S. President Trump. We will be closely watching to see if the remarks from these key figures will cause any shifts in the declining U.S. dollar.

桜井 慶介

Author: Keisuke Sakurai

He has over 10 years of experience in FX trading. In the financial sector, he has been involved in investment management focused primarily on foreign exchange markets and has experience as an asset management advisor. Drawing on his extensive experience, he specializes in technical and fundamental analysis.

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