Will the Market Wait and See How Long the Swiss Franc's Rise Lasts?
05.02.2025
- U.S. PMI (Purchasing Managers' Index)
- European and African Non-Manufacturing PMI
In the U.S. currency market yesterday, the U.S. dollar fell against the euro. The euro rose against the dollar for the second consecutive day, climbing from 1.0272 to 1.0386.On the 4-hour chart, the pair has broken above the 200-period simple moving average (SMA) line, which had been acting as resistance, and on the daily chart, the upward trend continues after avoiding a new low for the month. It will be worth watching to see if the U.S. dollar continues to weaken.
Among European currencies, the Swiss franc rose slightly against the yen. The CHF/JPY pair rose from 169.668 to 171.024. A trend along the 20-period moving average (MA) on the hourly chart was observed.On the 4-hour chart, the candlesticks have extended to the 75-period moving average (MA) resistance line, while the daily chart shows a retracement toward the centerline of the 20-period MA. However, as the Swiss franc has weakened during today’s Asian trading session, traders should pay close attention to the direction of the market during European trading hours.
Today’s schedule includes New Zealand’s employment statistics at 6:45, South Korea’s Consumer Price Index at 8:00, Japan’s Monthly Labor Survey at 8:30, the Philippines’ Consumer Price Index at 10:00, China’s Caixin PMI at 10:45, Indonesia’s retail sales at 13:00,2:00 PM: India’s Services PMI; 4:45 PM: France’s Industrial Production; 5:50 PM: France’s Non-Manufacturing PMI; 5:55 PM: Germany’s Non-Manufacturing PMI; 6:00 PM: Eurozone’s Non-Manufacturing PMI;6:30 PM UK Non-Manufacturing PMI, 7:00 PM Eurozone Producer Price Index, 9:00 PM US MBA Mortgage Applications Index, Brazil Industrial Production, 10:15 PM US ADP Employment Report, 10:30 PM US Trade Balance,Canada’s International Merchandise Trade, at 11:45 PM the U.S. PMI Purchasing Managers’ Index, at 12:00 AM the U.S. ISM Non-Manufacturing Index, and at 12:30 AM U.S. weekly crude oil inventories are scheduled. We intend to carefully monitor whether the Swiss franc’s recent rise will continue.
