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Should We Be Wary of U.S. Dollar Movements Ahead of the FOMC Meeting?

Market Report

Should We Be Wary of U.S. Dollar Movements Ahead of the FOMC Meeting?

Today's Highlights
  1. U.S. Industrial Production
  2. Germany's IFO Business Climate Index

In yesterday’s U.S. currency trading, the U.S. dollar rose against the yen ahead of tomorrow’s FOMC meeting. The USD/JPY pair rose from 153.335 to 154.466. The price rose in line with the 20-period moving average on the hourly chart.On the 4-hour chart, prices are rising along the +2σ line of the Bollinger Bands, and on the daily chart, the pair has been rising for six consecutive days. We will need to monitor price movements during U.S. trading hours to see if the U.S. dollar continues to rise against the yen.

Among European currencies, the Swiss franc saw a back-and-forth movement against the yen. The Swiss franc held its ground against the Japanese yen, which had been the weakest currency all day. The CHF/JPY pair traded within a range of 171.713 to 172.862.On the 4-hour chart, prices are being rejected by the 200 EMA as an upper resistance level, while on the daily chart, the pair is currently searching for direction just below the 200 SMA. On the weekly chart, the Bollinger Band width is contracting, and the RSI is hovering around 50.

Today’s economic indicators include the UK unemployment rate at 16:00, the Hong Kong unemployment rate at 17:30, the German IFO Business Climate Index at 18:00, the German ZEW Economic Sentiment Survey and the Eurozone trade balance at 19:00,at 21:00: Mexico’s retail sales; at 22:30: Canada’s Consumer Price Index, Canada’s government bond turnover, and U.S. retail sales;at 11:15 PM: U.S. industrial production and capacity utilization; at 12:00 AM: U.S. business inventories and NAHB Housing Market Index; and at 3:00 AM: U.S. 20-year Treasury auction. I want to carefully assess the movement of the U.S. dollar ahead of the FOMC meeting.

桜井 慶介

Author: Keisuke Sakurai

He has over 10 years of experience in FX trading. In the financial sector, he has been involved in investment management focused primarily on foreign exchange markets and has experience as an asset management advisor. Drawing on his extensive experience, he specializes in technical and fundamental analysis.

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