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With the euro-dollar exchange rate hitting a new low for the year and approaching last year’s low, investors should be wary of further downside potential.

Market Report

With the euro-dollar exchange rate hitting a new low for the year and approaching last year’s low, investors should be wary of further downside potential.

Today's Highlights
  1. U.S. and Swedish Consumer Price Index
  2. Europe: Real GDP

In yesterday's U.S. currency trading, the U.S. dollar rose against the euro following the release of the U.S. October CPI, which showed a 0.2-point increase. The EUR/USD pair fell from 1.0653 to 1.0554. It moved from above the 20-period moving average on the hourly chart to below it. Furthermore, during today's Asian trading session, the pair has continued to test lower levels and has already hit a new low for the year.

European currencies saw the euro fluctuate against the yen following the release of France’s third-quarter employment statistics yesterday, which showed the unemployment rate rising to 7.4% from the previous reading of 7.3%.The EUR/JPY pair traded between 163.630 and 164.803. Price action was seen straddling the 20-period moving average (MA) on the hourly chart. On the 4-hour chart, the 200-period simple moving average (SMA) is acting as support, while on the daily chart, the price has already broken below the 200-period SMA.

Today’s schedule includes Japan’s Domestic and Foreign Securities Investment at 8:50, the UK’s RICS House Price Index at 9:01, Australia’s Employment Report at 9:30, Thailand’s Consumer Confidence Index at 12:30, India’s Wholesale Price Index at 15:30, Sweden’s Consumer Price Index at 16:00, and the Eurozone’s Real GDP at 19:00,22:30: US Producer Price Index and Initial Jobless Claims; 23:00: Remarks by Barkin, President of the Richmond Fed; 25:00: US Weekly Crude Oil Inventories; 28:00: Remarks by Lagarde, ECB President; and 29:00: Remarks by Powell, Fed Chair.We should watch for further downside potential in the EUR/USD pair, which has hit a new low for the year and is approaching last year’s low.

桜井 慶介

Author: Keisuke Sakurai

I have over 10 years of experience in FX trading. In the financial sector, I have focused primarily on foreign exchange trading and have also worked as an investment advisor. Drawing on my extensive experience, I specialize in technical and fundamental analysis.

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