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Will the release of the U.S. FOMC minutes cause the U.S. dollar to rise, or should we wait and see?

Market Report

Will the release of the U.S. FOMC minutes cause the U.S. dollar to rise, or should we wait and see?

Today's Highlights
  1. New Zealand: RBNZ Policy Rate and Statement Release
  2. Release of the U.S. FOMC Minutes

In the U.S. currency market yesterday, the U.S. dollar rose against the yen ahead of today’s release of the FOMC minutes.The USD/JPY pair rose from 147.334 to 148.371, climbing gradually. On the 4-hour chart, the upward trend along the 10-period moving average (MA) continues, while on the daily chart, the RSI has risen from 52 to 62. We need to assess whether the U.S. dollar will continue to strengthen during U.S. trading hours.

Among European currencies, the euro rose slightly against the yen. The euro/yen pair rose from 161.895 to 162.825. Price action was seen crossing the 20-period moving average on the hourly chart.On the 4-hour chart, the 20-period moving average is providing support on the downside, while on the daily chart, the pair is currently attempting to break above the resistance line formed by the 200-period exponential moving average (EMA). It will be interesting to see if the euro continues its upward trend during European trading hours.

Today, the RBNZ will announce its policy rate and statement at 10:00; the Reserve Bank of India will announce its policy rate and statement at 13:30; and Germany’strade balance, at 20:00 the U.S. MBA Mortgage Applications Index, at 21:00 Mexico’s Consumer Price Index and remarks by Bostic, President of the Atlanta Fed, at 22:15 remarks by Logan, President of the Dallas Fed, at 23:00 U.S. wholesale inventories,U.S. weekly crude oil inventories, at 26:00, a U.S. 10-year Treasury auction, and at 27:00, the release of the U.S. FOMC minutes. I intend to watch the situation carefully to see if the release of the U.S. FOMC minutes will affect the upside potential of the U.S. dollar.

桜井 慶介

Author: Keisuke Sakurai

He has over 10 years of experience in FX trading. In the financial sector, he has been involved in investment management focused primarily on foreign exchange markets and has experience as an asset management advisor. Drawing on his extensive experience, he specializes in technical and fundamental analysis.

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