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Market Participants May Keep a Close Eye on the Pound, Which Is Facing Resistance

Market Report

Market Participants May Keep a Close Eye on the Pound, Which Is Facing Resistance

Today's Highlights
  1. Hong Kong Consumer Price Index
  2. Turkey's Central Government Debt

Last weekend, the foreign exchange market saw a US dollar buying trend, making the US dollar the strongest currency. The GBP/USD pair fell from 1.2950 to 1.2900. It broke below the 200-period SMA on the hourly chart. On the 4-hour chart, it has continued to trade below the 20-period MA, and on the daily chart, it has fallen for two consecutive days.The price is reverting from the +2σ level of the Bollinger Bands toward the 10-period moving average, which is close to the centerline.

Among European currencies, the GBP/JPY pair stood out for its weakness, even as other yen crosses stabilized. GBP/JPY fell from 204.214 to 202.952, with price action fluctuating around the 20-period moving average (MA) on the hourly chart.On the 4-hour chart, the price has been gradually edging lower toward the 200-period simple moving average (SMA) support line, while on the daily chart, it has broken below the 20-period moving average (MA), and the RSI has fallen from 80 to 46.

Today, New Zealand’s trade balance will be released at 7:45, China’s prime lending rate at 10:15,at 4:00 PM, Turkey’s year-end CPI forecast; at 5:00 PM, Taiwan’s employment statistics and the Philippines’ retail sales; at 5:30 PM, Hong Kong’s Consumer Price Index; at 9:00 PM, Mexico’s retail sales;Philippines’ money supply, at 21:30 the U.S. Chicago Fed National Activity Index, at 23:30 Turkey’s central government debt, and at 24:30 U.S. 3-month Treasury bill auction and U.S. 6-month Treasury bill auction. We will carefully monitor the movement of the pound, which is facing resistance on the upside.

桜井 慶介

Author: Keisuke Sakurai

He has over 10 years of experience in FX trading. In the financial sector, he has been involved in investment management focused primarily on foreign exchange markets and has experience as an asset management advisor. Drawing on his extensive experience, he specializes in technical and fundamental analysis.

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