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Will Market Participants Wait and See How the CAD/JPY Pairs Rebound After the Drop?

Market Report

Will Market Participants Wait and See How the CAD/JPY Pairs Rebound After the Drop?

Today's Highlights
  1. U.S. New Home Sales
  2. Bostic (U.S.): Remarks by the President of the Atlanta Federal Reserve Bank

In the U.S. currency markets last weekend, the Canadian dollar fell against the yen after Canada’s January retail sales figures, released on the 22nd, came in at -0.3%, down from 0.9% the previous month. The CAD/JPY pair fell from 112.181 to 110.026.The price fell to near the 200-period EMA on the hourly chart. However, during today’s Asian session, the -2σ Bollinger Band on the hourly chart has acted as support, and the pair is testing the upside; therefore, we will be watching price movements closely during the European session.

Among European currencies, the pound fell against the U.S. dollar. The GBP/USD pair dropped from 12,675 to 1.2575. The 4-hour RSI fell to 30.On the daily chart, the 200-day SMA is acting as support, but since the daily RSI continues its downward trend after touching 70, we will be watching closely to see if the GBP/USD pair will experience a temporary rebound.

Today, the minutes of the Bank of Japan (BOJ) meeting will be released at 8:50, the Japan Leading Economic Index at 14:00, and the UKCBI Retail Trade Survey, at 21:15, remarks by U.S. Atlanta Fed President Bostic, at 21:30, the U.S. Chicago Fed National Activity Index, at 23:00, U.S. new home sales, at 23:15, remarks by U.K.Remarks by MPC Member Mann; at 23:30, the U.S. Dallas Fed Manufacturing Activity Index and remarks by Fed Governor Cook; and at 26:00, a U.S. 2-year Treasury auction are scheduled. I intend to cautiously monitor the resilience of the CAD/JPY pair following its decline.

桜井 慶介

Author: Keisuke Sakurai

He has over 10 years of experience in FX trading. In the financial sector, he has been involved in investment management focused primarily on foreign exchange markets and has experience as an asset management advisor. Drawing on his extensive experience, he specializes in technical and fundamental analysis.

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