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With the pound showing strength ahead of the BOE meeting, investors should watch for its upside potential

Market Report

With the pound showing strength ahead of the BOE meeting, investors should watch for its upside potential

Today's Highlights
  1. Swiss National Bank (SNB) Policy Rate and Statement Announcement
  2. UK: BOE Policy Rate and Statement Announcement

In U.S. currency trading yesterday, the U.S. dollar weakened during U.S. trading hours after the FOMC decided to keep the policy rate unchanged. The EUR/USD pair rose from 1.0836 to 1.0922, breaking above the 200-period SMA on the hourly chart.On the 4-hour chart, the EUR/USD pair has touched the +3σ level of the Bollinger Bands, while on the daily chart, the RSI stands at 59 and is within the buffer zone. We will be closely monitoring whether the euro continues to strengthen against the U.S. dollar.

Among European currencies, the pound is rising against the yen ahead of today’s Bank of England (BOE) policy rate announcement. In contrast to the falling USD/JPY, GBP/JPY rose from 191.738 to 193.527.An uptrend has emerged along the 10-period moving average (MA) on the hourly chart. Since the market expects the BOE to keep rates unchanged at 5.25% today, we will need to carefully assess whether the pound will continue to rise against the yen.

Today’s schedule includes the Australian employment report at 9:30, the French manufacturing and services PMIs at 17:15, and the GermanManufacturing/Services PMIs, the Swiss National Bank (SNB) policy rate and statement at 5:30 p.m., Eurozone Manufacturing/Services PMIs and the ECB Monthly Report at 6:00 p.m., a press conference by SNB Governor Jordan at 6:00 p.m., UKBOE policy rate and statement, at 21:30: U.S. initial jobless claims and the Philadelphia Fed Business Outlook Index, at 22:35: remarks by BOC Deputy Governor Gravel, and at 22:45: U.S. Manufacturing/Services PMI.We will cautiously monitor the upside potential for the pound, which is trading firm ahead of the BOE announcement.

桜井 慶介

Author: Keisuke Sakurai

He has over 10 years of experience in FX trading. In the financial sector, he has been involved in investment management focused primarily on foreign exchange markets and has experience as an asset management advisor. Drawing on his extensive experience, he specializes in technical and fundamental analysis.

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