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All Eyes on the Future of the U.S. Dollar, Which Rallied on the Back of Stable U.S. Core CPI

Market Report

All Eyes on the Future of the U.S. Dollar, Which Rallied on the Back of Stable U.S. Core CPI

Today's Highlights
  1. UK Retail Sales
  2. U.S. Weekly Crude Oil Inventories

In the U.S. currency market yesterday, the U.S. dollar emerged as the strongest currency after the January U.S. CPI, released yesterday, showed a year-over-year decline from 3.4% the previous month to 3.1%, while the core CPI remained unchanged at 3.9%.The EUR/USD pair fell from 1.0799 to 1.0700, hitting a new low for the year. On the weekly chart, the RSI for EUR/USD is trending downward and has formed a bearish pattern, so traders should remain cautious of a continued decline.

In contrast to the rising USD/JPY, the CHF/JPY fell sharply. The CHF/JPY dropped from 170.876 to 169.398.Although it avoided hitting a new low for the month, it still posted a significant decline of more than 1 yen. Since the CHF/JPY pair has already broken below the 20-day moving average on the daily chart and the RSI is trending downward, we should watch to see if the Swiss franc will decline further during European trading hours.

Today, the New Zealand Food Price Index will be released at 6:45, followed by the Indian Wholesale Price Index at 15:30, the UK Consumer Price Index, UK Retail Sales, UK Producer Price Index, and Norwegian GDP at 16:00, Hungarian GDP at 16:30,7:00 PM: Eurozone GDP and EurozoneIndustrial Production, at 21:00 the U.S. MBA Mortgage Applications Index, at 24:00 the Canadian Consumer Sentiment Index and remarks by Bank of England Governor Bailey, at 24:30 U.S. weekly crude oil inventories, and at 25:00 the Russian Consumer Price Index.We will be closely monitoring the future direction of the U.S. dollar, which rose following the release of the U.S. core CPI data.

桜井 慶介

Author: Keisuke Sakurai

He has over 10 years of experience in FX trading. In the financial sector, he has been involved in investment management focused primarily on foreign exchange markets and has experience as an asset management advisor. Drawing on his extensive experience, he specializes in technical and fundamental analysis.

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