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Keep an eye on GBP/USD price movements as the daily RSI shows a downward trend

Market Report

Keep an eye on GBP/USD price movements as the daily RSI shows a downward trend

Today's Highlights
  1. Retail Sales in Europe
  2. Japan: New Orders in the Manufacturing Sector

In the previous day’s U.S. currency trading, Minneapolis Fed President Kashkari stated that “core inflation is making rapid progress toward the Fed’s target,” which fueled expectations of an interest rate cut; however, the market reacted in the opposite direction, and the U.S. dollar rose.The EUR/USD pair fell from 1.0786 to 1.0723. It broke below the daily 200-day EMA, which had been acting as support, with a real body candle.

Among European currencies, the pound was the weakest, with the GBP/USD pair falling for the second consecutive day. The GBP/USD fell from 1.2631 to 1.2518. On the daily chart, the pair fell continuously from the +2σ to the -3σ Bollinger Bands and halted its decline upon touching the 200-day EMA. On the weekly chart, the pair has failed to make a new high and is trending lower, so investors should watch for further weakness in the pound.

Today’s schedule includes UK existing store sales at 9:00, Australian retail sales at 9:30, the Philippine Consumer Price Index at 10:00, the RBA policy rate and statement at 12:30, German manufacturing new orders at 16:00, Taiwan’s Consumer Price Index at 17:00, and the UKConstruction PMI, 7:00 PM for Eurozone Retail Sales, 10:30 PM for Canadian Housing Starts, 12:00 AM for the Canadian Ivey PMI, 2:00 AM for remarks by Mester, President of the Cleveland Fed, and 3:00 AM for the U.S. 3-Year Treasury Auction. We will be closely monitoring the price action of GBP/USD, as the daily RSI is showing a downward trend.

桜井 慶介

Author: Keisuke Sakurai

He has over 10 years of experience in FX trading. In the financial sector, he has focused primarily on foreign exchange trading and also has experience as an investment advisor. Drawing on his extensive experience, he specializes in technical and fundamental analysis.

Past Market Reports

  1. 17.04.2026New

    Will the market wait and see how much further the U.S. dollar can rise against the yen?

  2. 16.04.2026New

    Will the weakening Swiss franc recover? Attention is turning to price movements during European trading hours.

  3. 15.04.2026New

    Market participants are likely keeping a close eye on the upside potential of the euro, which has risen against the U.S. dollar

  4. 14.04.2026New

    Should we keep an eye on remarks by key figures in the U.S. and try to gauge the direction of currency strength?

  5. 13.04.2026New

    Market participants are likely watching for signs of a rebound in the Canadian dollar, which fell against the U.S. dollar following the release of employment figures

  6. 10.04.2026

    Will the weakening Swiss franc continue to strengthen against the yen, or should we wait and see?

  7. 09.04.2026

    Will the U.S. dollar, which has fallen against the yen, continue its downward slide, or should we wait and see how the market moves?

  8. 08.04.2026

    Should we keep an eye on the upside for European currencies that have risen against the U.S. dollar?

  9. 07.04.2026

    Market participants may be wary of further downside potential for the U.S. dollar, which has weakened amid concerns over the situation in Iran

  10. 06.04.2026

    Investors should be wary of sudden spikes in volatility while major markets are closed

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