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Should We Keep an Eye on the Upside Potential for the Pound, Which Has Rebounded Against the U.S. Dollar?

Market Report

Should We Keep an Eye on the Upside Potential for the Pound, Which Has Rebounded Against the U.S. Dollar?

Today's Highlights
  1. U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI)
  2. Germany's ZEW Economic Sentiment Index

In the U.S. currency market yesterday, the U.S. dollar traded in a tight range against the euro ahead of today’s U.S. CPI release. The EUR/USD pair traded within a very narrow range between 1.10741 and 1.0778, continuing its lack of direction.From a technical perspective, the EUR/USD pair is trading just below the 200-period simple moving average (SMA) on the 4-hour chart, and the 200-period exponential moving average (EMA) is acting as support on the daily chart, so we will be watching price action closely during U.S. trading hours today.

European currencies saw the pound rise slightly against the U.S. dollar after the UK’s December Rightmove house prices, released yesterday, showed an improvement year-over-year, moving from a 1.3% decline the previous month to a 1.1% decline. The GBP/USD pair rebounded by about 60 pips, rising from 1.2522 to 1.2588.It has recovered from this month’s low. However, on the daily chart, the RSI remains in a downtrend after falling from above 70, so traders should remain cautious ahead of today’s economic data releases during U.S. trading hours.

Today's economic indicators include the UKEmployment Report at 16:00, the German and Eurozone ZEW Economic Sentiment Indexes at 19:00, South African Manufacturing Output and the U.S. NFIB Small Business Optimism Index at 20:00, Mexican Industrial Production at 21:00, and the IndianIndustrial Production, and India’s Consumer Price Index; at 22:30, the U.S. Consumer Price Index; at 22:55, the U.S. Redbook Large Retailer Sales; at 27:00, the U.S. 30-Year Treasury Auction; and at 28:00, the U.S. Budget Balance.We will carefully monitor the upside potential for the pound, which has rebounded against the U.S. dollar.

桜井 慶介

Author: Keisuke Sakurai

He has over 10 years of experience in FX trading. In the financial sector, he has been involved in investment management focused primarily on foreign exchange markets and has experience as an asset management advisor. Drawing on his extensive experience, he specializes in technical and fundamental analysis.

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