With the euro/yen rising amid a weak yen, attention is turning to its upside potential
11.09.2023
- South Africa: Manufacturing Output
- Remarks by Pill, a Member of the UK’s MPC
Last weekend, the Canadian dollar emerged as the strongest currency following the release of Canada’s August employment report on the 8th, which showed a significant improvement in employment—rising from a decline of 0.64万人 the previous month to an increase of 3.99万人—and an unemployment rate of 5.5%, which was lower than the market forecast of 5.6%.The CAD/JPY pair rose from 107.162 to 108.459. It rebounded after touching the 200 SMA on the 4-hour chart and surged upward in one go. On the weekly chart, the uptrend continues, supported by the 10-day moving average (10MA) on the downside, so it will be worth watching whether the Canadian dollar continues to strengthen against the yen.
European currencies rose against the yen after Germany’s August CPI, released last weekend, came in at 6.1% year-over-year—matching the previous month’s figure. The euro/yen pair rebounded from 157.001 to 158.392, marking a gain of approximately 1.4 yen.Although the gain was larger compared to other yen crosses, since this rebound followed a break below the 200-period SMA on the 4-hour chart with a bearish candlestick featuring a lower wick, it will be important to monitor how long the euro’s rise against the yen will continue.
Today, at 15:00, Norway’s Consumer Price Index; at 16:00, Turkey’s Current Account Balance, Turkey’s Employment Statistics, the Czech Republic’s Consumer Price Index, and Turkey’s Industrial Production; at 17:00, the UK’sremarks by MPC member Pill, at 20:00 South African Manufacturing Output, at 21:00 Mexican Industrial Production, at 24:30 a U.S. 6-month Treasury bill auction, and at 26:00 a U.S. 3-year Treasury bond auction.We will cautiously monitor the upside potential of the euro/yen pair, which is rising amid a weak yen.
