Investors should watch for further downside potential in the Canadian dollar, which is falling against the yen
01.09.2023
- U.S. ISM Manufacturing Index
- European Manufacturing PMI
Yesterday, the three major U.S. stock indices saw mixed performance, resulting in a market characterized by flat stock prices, falling interest rates, and rising crude oil prices. WTI crude oil surged to $83.50. Natural gas, on the other hand, faced resistance at higher levels and traded in the $2.75 range. All five major precious metals declined, with silver falling the most, dropping back to $24.40.
In the foreign exchange market, the Canadian dollar fell against the yen after Canada’s second-quarter current account balance, released yesterday, worsened to a deficit of CAD 6.63 billion from the previous reading of CAD 6.17 billion. The CAD/JPY pair fell from 108.115 to 107.301, dropping below the 200-period simple moving average (SMA) on the hourly chart.On the daily chart, the CAD/JPY pair remains above the 20-day moving average, but the RSI is showing a bearish divergence around the 53 level. Therefore, we should remain cautious of a potential decline during U.S. trading hours.
Today’s economic indicators include the UK Nationwide House Price Index at 3:00 PM, the Swiss Consumer Price Index at 3:30 PM, the French Budget Balance at 3:45 PM, the Turkish Manufacturing PMI at 4:00 PM, the Swiss SVME Purchasing Managers’ Index at 4:30 PM, the French Manufacturing PMI at 4:50 PM, the German Manufacturing PMI at 4:55 PM,at 5:00 PM, the Eurozone Manufacturing PMI; at 5:30 PM, the UK Manufacturing PMI; at 7:00 PM, remarks by UK MPC member Pill and US Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta President Bostic; at 9:30 PM, Canadian Real GDP and US Employment Report; at 10:45 PM, the US Manufacturing PMI; and at 11:00 PM, the US ISM Manufacturing Index are scheduled for release.We should pay close attention to the downside potential of the Canadian dollar, which is currently falling against the yen.
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