Market Participants on Alert Over the Direction of the Canadian Dollar as CPI Rises Again
16.08.2023
- Canada: Housing Starts
- Release of U.S. FOMC Minutes (July 25–26)
In U.S. currency trading yesterday, the Canadian dollar fell against the yen despite the release of Canada’s July Consumer Price Index, which showed a year-over-year increase of 3.3%, up from the market forecast of 2.9%. The CAD/JPY pair fell from 108.277 to 107.661, dropping below the 75-period moving average on the hourly chart.From a technical perspective, the pair is trading just below the 20-period moving average (MA) on the 4-hour chart, and on the higher-time-frame daily chart, it has entered a corrective downtrend from the upper boundary of the uptrend line. Therefore, traders should be cautious of further declines in the CAD/JPY pair during U.S. trading hours.
European currencies saw the euro rise against the yen after Germany’s August ZEW Economic Sentiment Index, released yesterday, improved to -12.3 from -14.7 the previous month. The euro/yen pair rose from 158.537 to 159.329 before falling back.During today’s Asian trading session, the euro has faced resistance at higher levels and is currently trading around 158.678. We will be watching the euro’s direction closely to see if the pullback has paused and a renewed upward trend will emerge.
Today, at 15:00, the UK Consumer Price Index and UK Producer Price Index will be released; at 18:00, the Eurozone Q2 GDP and Eurozone Industrial Production will be released; at 20:00, the U.S. MBA Mortgage Applications Index will be released; at 21:15, Canadian Housing Starts will be released; and at 21:30, Canadianwholesale sales, and U.S. housing starts; at 21:30, Canadian wholesale sales and U.S. housing starts; at 22:15, U.S. industrial production; at 23:30, U.S. weekly crude oil inventories; at 27:00, the release of the U.S. FOMC minutes; and at 29:10, remarks by RBNZ Governor O’Hara.We need to remain highly vigilant regarding the direction of the Canadian dollar, as the CPI has risen again.
