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Should we wait and see how the CHF/JPY pair performs as it continues to hit new highs?

Market Report

Should we wait and see how the CHF/JPY pair performs as it continues to hit new highs?

Today's Highlights
  1. U.S. Services PMI
  2. U.S. - Birkin: Remarks by the President of the Richmond Federal Reserve Bank

In the previous day’s U.S. currency trading, the U.S. dollar emerged as the strongest currency after the July ADP employment report, released during U.S. trading hours, showed a figure of 324,000—significantly exceeding the market forecast of 189,000.The USD/JPY pair fell from 143.332 to 142.227 before rebounding to 143.489.During today’s Asian trading session, the pair broke through yesterday’s high, touching 143.891. With key economic indicators—such as initial jobless claims—scheduled for release later today, traders should keep a close eye on the U.S. dollar’s price movements during U.S. trading hours.

European currencies saw the Swiss franc weaken against the yen after yesterday’s Swiss Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) results showed a decline to 38.5 from 44.9 the previous month. The franc-yen exchange rate fell from 164.034 to 162.101.The pair broke significantly below the 20-period moving average (MA) on the 4-hour chart. However, the yen has been weakening again during today’s Asian trading session and has already broken through the key 163-yen level, so we will need to carefully assess the currency’s strength and weakness during European trading hours.

Today’s schedule includes Germany’s trade balance at 15:00, Switzerland’s Consumer Price Index at 15:30, Turkey’s Consumer Price Index and Producer Price Index at 16:00, the UK’s Services PMI at 17:30, and at 20:00, the UK’sBOE policy rate and statement, at 8:30 p.m. UK BOE Governor Bailey’s press conference and U.S. Challenger layoff announcements, at 9:30 p.m. U.S. initial jobless claims, U.S. second-quarter nonfarm labor productivity, U.S. Birkin:Remarks by Richmond Fed President Barkin; at 22:45, U.S. Services PMI; at 23:00, U.S. ISM Non-Manufacturing Index; and at 23:30, U.S. weekly natural gas inventories are scheduled. We will be closely monitoring the movement of the yen against the dollar, which continues to hit new highs.

桜井 慶介

Author: Keisuke Sakurai

He has over 10 years of experience in FX trading. In the financial sector, he has been involved in investment management focused primarily on foreign exchange markets and has experience as an asset management advisor. Drawing on his extensive experience, he specializes in technical and fundamental analysis.

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