All Eyes on the Euro's Movements at the Start of the Week
03.04.2023
- European Manufacturing PMI
- U.S. Construction Spending
In the U.S. currency market last weekend, the Canadian dollar emerged as the strongest currency during U.S. trading hours, causing the EUR/CAD pair to fall by approximately 120 pips from 1.4769 to 1.4646. Furthermore, during today’s Asian trading session, the pair opened slightly lower and has already touched 1.4579.On the higher-timeframe weekly chart, the RSI has shown divergence after touching 70, so we need to be cautious about whether prices will trend downward at the start of the week.
Despite the fact that the Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) for the eurozone, released last weekend, rose to 5.7% year-over-year from 5.6% the previous month, the euro fell against the yen. The euro/yen pair fell by approximately 1.7 yen, from 145.652 to 143.909.It broke below the 75-period moving average (MA) on the hourly chart. On the weekly chart, the RSI for the EUR/JPY pair is showing signs of a downtrend, while on the monthly chart, it has been hovering around 70, making it very difficult to gauge the overall direction. For the time being, we will focus on the direction indicated by the shorter-term time frames.
Today, at 16:00: Turkey’s Consumer Price Index and Producer Price Index; at 16:30: Switzerland’s Manufacturing PMI; at 16:50: France’s Manufacturing PMI; at 16:55: Germany’sManufacturing PMI, at 5:00 PM the Eurozone Manufacturing PMI, at 5:30 PM the UK Manufacturing PMI, at 6:00 PM the South African Manufacturing PMI, at 10:45 PM the U.S. Manufacturing PMI, at 11:00 PM the U.S. ISM Manufacturing Index and U.S. Construction Spending,and at 29:15, remarks by Fed Governor Cook are scheduled. Since most major markets in Europe and the U.S. will be closed on Friday, the 7th, we should pay close attention to price movements in the first half of the week.
