Be on the lookout for sharp fluctuations in the U.S. dollar following the release of U.S. employment data
03.02.2023
- U.S. Employment Report
- Mizuho ISM Non-Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index
In yesterday’s U.S. currency trading, the Canadian dollar fell, and the USD/CAD pair rose by just under 90 pips from 1.3261 to 1.3346.USD/CAD rebounded at the point where it touched the 200-day EMA on the daily chart, leading to yesterday’s rise. If the pair tests the support level again and successfully rebounds, the US dollar is likely to strengthen against the Canadian dollar; therefore, we will be watching the release of the US employment report during US trading hours today.
Among European currencies, the pound fell against the U.S. dollar after the Bank of England raised its policy rate by 0.5% yesterday to 4.0%. GBP/USD fell by approximately 200 pips from 1.2400 to 1.2202.The decline halted as the pair found support at the 200-period SMA on the 4-hour chart. Following yesterday’s drop, GBP/USD has fallen below the daily 20-period MA, marking the end of the one-month uptrend that lasted through last month; therefore, we should remain cautious of further declines.
Today, at 4:00 PM, Turkey’s Consumer Price Index and Producer Price Index; at 4:45 PM, France’s Industrial Production and Manufacturing Production Index; at 5:50 PM, France’s Services PMI; at 5:55 PM, Germany’s Services PMI; at 6:00 PM, the Eurozone’s Services PMI; at 6:30 PM, the UK’s Services PMI;the Eurozone Producer Price Index at 7:00 PM, remarks by UK MPC member Pill at 9:15 PM, U.S. Employment Report at 10:30 PM, U.S. Services PMI at 11:45 PM, U.S. ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI at 12:00 AM, and remarks by U.S. Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco President Daly at 4:30 AM.Please be particularly cautious of sharp fluctuations in the US dollar following the release of the US employment report.
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