All eyes are on whether the pound, which has been falling against the yen, will rebound.
26.01.2023
- U.S. Fourth-Quarter GDP
- U.S. Personal Consumption
In U.S. currency trading the previous day, the euro rose against the dollar as the Dollar Index fell to 101.6.The EUR/USD pair rose by just under 70 pips, from 1.0857 to 1.0923. Since the start of this week, the pair has continued to trade in a range near its highs. However, on the 4-hour chart, the 20-period moving average is acting as support at the lower end and the price is rising slightly; therefore, it will be worth watching to see if the U.S. dollar’s weakness becomes apparent heading into the weekend.
European currencies saw the pound weaken against the yen after yesterday’s release of the UK’s December Producer Price Index (PPI) showed that input prices fell year-over-year to 16.5% from the previous reading of 18.0%, while output prices also unexpectedly declined to 14.7%.GBP/JPY fell by approximately 140 pips from 160.932 to 159.506, temporarily dipping below the 200-period EMA on the hourly chart. However, on the daily chart, the pair is in a triangle consolidation pattern with widening highs and lows, so traders should remain cautious regarding the direction of the market during European trading hours.
Today’s schedule includes: Japan’s machine tool orders at 3:00 p.m., South Africa’s Producer Price Index at 6:30 p.m., the UK’s CBI Retail Trade Survey at 8:00 p.m., U.S. initial jobless claims, U.S. fourth-quarter GDP, and U.S. personal consumption at 10:30 p.m.,U.S. Core PCE Deflator, U.S. Durable Goods Orders, U.S. Wholesale Inventories,U.S. Chicago Fed National Activity Index, U.S. new home sales at 12:00 a.m., U.S. weekly natural gas inventories at 12:30 a.m., U.S. Kansas City Fed Manufacturing Activity Index at 1:00 a.m., and a U.S. 7-year Treasury auction at 3:00 a.m.I want to carefully assess the direction to see if the pound, which has been falling against the yen, will recover.
