Should we wait and see where the euro is headed against the yen?
22.12.2022
- Kansas City Fed Manufacturing Activity Index
- U.S. Core PCE Deflator
The U.S. dollar traded in a tight range against the euro the previous day.The EUR/USD pair traded in a range between 1.0590 and 1.0645, continuing its directionless movement as it fluctuated around the 20-period moving average (MA) on the hourly chart. Technically, the 75-period MA on the 4-hour chart is acting as support for the EUR/USD, and the pair has been gradually raising its lows. On the higher timeframe daily chart, the uptrend—where the 10-period MA has been functioning as support—remains intact, so we will be watching closely to see if an upward trend emerges during European trading hours.
European currencies saw the German GfK Consumer Confidence Index for January, released yesterday, come in at -37.8, marking a third consecutive monthly increase; however, the euro continued to face resistance against the yen.The EUR/JPY pair traded within a range of approximately 110 pips between 139.639 and 140.774, but failed to break above the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level and remains stagnant during today’s Asian session. However, since the hourly chart shows a slight upward trend in the lows, it will be worth watching whether the pair gains momentum during the European session.
Today, at 16:00 CET, the UK will release its Q3 GDP and Q3 current account balance; at 20:00, Turkey will announce its policy rate and statement; at 22:30 EST, the US will release initial jobless claims, Q3 GDP, and personal consumption;and the U.S. Core PCE Deflator at 24:00; the U.S. Leading Economic Index at 24:30; U.S. weekly natural gas inventories at 25:00; and the U.S. Kansas City Fed Manufacturing Activity Index at 25:00. We intend to carefully monitor the direction of the euro, which is currently weakening against the yen.
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