Should We Keep an Eye on the Direction of the Slumping Pound?
10.11.2022
- U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI)
- Harker (U.S.): Remarks by the President of the Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia
In the previous day’s U.S. currency trading, the dollar rebounded during European trading hours and rose against the yen. The USD/JPY pair rose from 145.167 to 146.775.It managed to avoid falling below the 145-yen level. However, USD/JPY is currently trading below the 20-day moving average (MA) on the daily chart, and the 200-period simple moving average (SMA) is acting as resistance on the 4-hour chart. Therefore, we need to remain cautious as today’s U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) release could trigger further downward pressure.
Among European currencies, the pound was the weakest, with GBP/JPY falling by just over 2 yen from 168.302 to 166.018. Yesterday’s decline halted GBP/JPY’s advance toward the upper boundary of the uptrend line, causing it to pull back to the 200 EMA on the 4-hour chart.During today’s Asian session, the pair has rebounded back toward the lower boundary of the uptrend line, so we will wait and see if an upward move materializes heading into the European session.
Today’s schedule includes Turkey’s unemployment rate at 16:00 European time, remarks by Fed Governor Waller at 16:00, the ECB’s monthly report at 18:00, remarks by SNB Board Member Mekler at 21:30, and during U.S. trading hours at 22:00, remarks byRamsden, Deputy Governor of the Bank of England, at 22:00 U.S. time; U.S. initial jobless claims and the U.S. Consumer Price Index at 22:30; remarks by Harker, President of the Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia, at 22:30; remarks by Logan,Dallas Fed President Logan’s remarks at 24:30, U.S. weekly natural gas inventories at 24:30, and a U.S. 30-year Treasury auction at 27:00. I intend to carefully monitor the direction of the pound, which is currently losing momentum.
