All eyes are on whether the euro-dollar pair, which appeared poised to break below a key level, will maintain its upward momentum
07.11.2022
- Remarks by ECB President Lagarde
- Mester (U.S.): Remarks by the President of the Cleveland Federal Reserve Bank
Last weekend, the U.S. dollar became the weakest currency after the October U.S. employment report released on Friday, the 4th, showed the unemployment rate rising to 3.7% from 3.5% the previous month. The USD/JPY pair fell by just under 2 yen, from 148.390 to 146.554.From a technical perspective, the pair broke below a descending pennant that had formed during the downtrend on the 4-hour chart. Since it continued to fall without reaching the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level drawn from the recent high and low, traders should remain cautious about further downside movement.
European currencies saw limited downside as the Eurozone and German services PMI figures released last Friday matched market expectations; combined with the weakness of the U.S. dollar, the euro/dollar pair rose 200 pips from 0.9755 to 0.9966.Although the EUR/USD pair briefly dipped below the retest level of its downtrend line, it recovered and broke above the recent 4-hour high of 0.9912 with a real body candle; therefore, we will be watching for signs of a potential upward move.
Today’s schedule includes the Swiss unemployment rate at 15:45, German industrial production and the UK Halifax house price index at 16:00, Norwegian manufacturing output at 16:00, Swiss foreign exchange reserves at 17:00, Hong Kong foreign exchange reserves at 17:30, and at 17:40, the Eurozone’sremarks by ECB President Lagarde, at 18:30 the Eurozone Investor Sentiment Index, at 25:30 the U.S. 6-month Treasury bill auction, at 29:00 U.S. consumer credit balances, and at 29:40 remarks by U.S. Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland President Mester.I’d like to watch the situation carefully to see if the EUR/USD pair, which appeared poised to break below a key level, can maintain its rebound momentum.
